The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 127UL Monroe | L 13–17 | -14.4 | — | NFL Net |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Delaware State FCS | W 57–0 | +12.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 42UTSA | W 37–29 | +14.5 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 81Syracuse | L 16–29 | -13.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 91Boston College | L 24–27 | -10.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 19Troy | L 0–19 | -12.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 13LSU | L 0–62 | -21.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 128Massachusetts | L 14–21 | -22.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 48Air ForceNEUTRAL | W 23–3 | +23.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs Holy Cross FCS | W 17–14 | -20.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 64Coastal Carolina | W 28–21 | +4.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | — | Bye | ||||
| 15 | Dec 9 | vs 100NavyNEUTRAL | W 17–11 | +0.3 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 90th | 46.6% | 120th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.1% | 87th | 47.6% | 109th |
| Passing success rate | 35.6% | 112th | 45.5% | 124th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.5% | 114th | 16.4% | 102nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 33rd | 9.6% | 50th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 35th | 3.56 | 128th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 98th | 43.5% | 123rd |
| Stuff rate | 10.9% | 3rd | 13.2% | 110th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.3% | 65th | 43.3% | 101st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.8% | 107th | 53.3% | 26th |
| Havoc rate | 6.5% | 26th | 5.2% | 128th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.5 | 113th | 21.1 | 32nd |
| Yards / game | 311.5 | 119th | 364.2 | 53rd |
| Yards / play | 4.97 | 102nd | 5.72 | 90th |
| Pass yards / game | 102.8 | 132nd | 177.7 | 24th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.52 | 58th | 7.27 | 72nd |
| Completion % | 50.6% | 131st | 61.3% | 81st |
| Rush yards / game | 208.7 | 8th | 176.3 | 109th |
| Yards / carry | 4.36 | 62nd | 4.88 | 114th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.8% | 76th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 119th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.17 | 17th | 1.75 | 103rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.3 | 9th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →