The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 98Northern Illinois | L 24–27 | -10.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Holy Cross FCS | W 31–28 | -20.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 10Florida StateCONF | L 29–31 | +9.1 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 23LouisvilleCONF | L 28–56 | -15.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 101VirginiaCONF | W 27–24 | -5.2 | — | CW |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 89Army | W 27–24 | +1.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 58Georgia TechCONF | W 38–23 | +18.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 118UConn | W 21–14 | -5.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 81SyracuseCONF | W 17–10 | +6.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 47Virginia TechCONF | L 22–48 | -24.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 84PittsburghCONF | L 16–24 | -9.0 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 33MiamiCONF | L 20–45 | -21.8 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 18SMUNEUTRAL | W 23–14 | +17.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.8% | 62nd | 44.3% | 94th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.5% | 40th | 44.1% | 68th |
| Passing success rate | 37.2% | 102nd | 44.5% | 113th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.8% | 47th | 14.7% | 70th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 47th | 12.4% | 114th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 37th | 3.10 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 37.1% | 54th |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 41st | 15.7% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 34th | 2.4% | 133rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 55th | 44.2% | 105th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.0% | 16th | 81.0% | 131st |
| Havoc rate | 8.6% | 76th | 7.3% | 90th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.9 | 84th | 28.3 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 380.8 | 71st | 384.8 | 72nd |
| Yards / play | 5.33 | 77th | 6.18 | 121st |
| Pass yards / game | 182.5 | 110th | 192.2 | 36th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.57 | 102nd | 7.67 | 94th |
| Completion % | 56.5% | 103rd | 58.1% | 29th |
| Rush yards / game | 198.3 | 16th | 187.6 | 120th |
| Yards / carry | 4.71 | 37th | 5.28 | 126th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.4% | 48th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 35th | 1.00 | 130th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.1 | 81st | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →