The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 32NC State | L 14–24 | -7.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 85Georgia State | L 14–35 | -22.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 130Florida International | L 17–24 | -24.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 26Duke | L 7–41 | -23.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 106Utah State | L 33–34 | -10.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 86Rice | W 38–31 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 96South Florida | L 21–24 | -10.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 91Boston College | L 14–21 | -9.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 16Tennessee | L 3–59 | -22.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 22James Madison | L 6–44 | -18.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs Sacred Heart FCS | W 31–3 | +2.2 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 128Massachusetts | W 31–18 | +2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.0% | 100th | 47.1% | 122nd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 67th | 45.7% | 90th |
| Passing success rate | 35.9% | 109th | 48.6% | 131st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.8% | 62nd | 12.9% | 36th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.4% | 121st | 8.8% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.78 | 126th | 3.04 | 45th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.8% | 101st | 37.4% | 57th |
| Stuff rate | 20.7% | 124th | 18.1% | 44th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 10th | 2.9% | 130th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.8% | 114th | 43.1% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.6% | 111th | 59.0% | 56th |
| Havoc rate | 8.1% | 66th | 7.0% | 95th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.1 | 121st | 29.8 | 95th |
| Yards / game | 326.9 | 106th | 406.3 | 98th |
| Yards / play | 4.98 | 101st | 5.98 | 110th |
| Pass yards / game | 190.3 | 104th | 247.3 | 121st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.00 | 124th | 8.22 | 117th |
| Completion % | 57.5% | 98th | 67.7% | 128th |
| Rush yards / game | 136.6 | 90th | 147.5 | 57th |
| Yards / carry | 4.15 | 82nd | 4.21 | 74th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.3% | 104th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 68th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 9th | 1.42 | 124th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.8 | 78th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →