
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 78New Mexico State | W 41–30 | +11.4 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 53Auburn | L 14–59 | -26.3 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 56Miami (OH) | L 28–41 | -13.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 124Eastern Michigan | L 17–19 | -11.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 122New Mexico | L 31–34 | -16.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 88Arkansas State | L 28–52 | -30.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 50Toledo | L 24–41 | -16.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 6Penn State | L 0–63 | -18.8 | — | BTN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 89Army | W 21–14 | +5.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs Merrimack FCS | W 31–21 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 28Liberty | L 25–49 | -14.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 118UConn | L 18–31 | -25.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 69th | 48.6% | 131st |
| Rushing success rate | 45.6% | 50th | 53.0% | 131st |
| Passing success rate | 39.0% | 87th | 42.7% | 93rd |
| Explosive run rate | 19.3% | 10th | 15.9% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 52nd | 16.2% | 132nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.44 | 16th | 3.92 | 133rd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.5% | 49th | 48.1% | 133rd |
| Stuff rate | 13.3% | 24th | 7.3% | 133rd |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 70th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.0% | 82nd | 45.1% | 111th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 96th | 66.7% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 6.5% | 26th | 5.0% | 129th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.0 | 61st | 37.8 | 131st |
| Yards / game | 356.3 | 88th | 428.0 | 117th |
| Yards / play | 5.60 | 63rd | 6.64 | 132nd |
| Pass yards / game | 214.1 | 81st | 196.8 | 44th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.38 | 63rd | 8.65 | 126th |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 69th | 56.6% | 20th |
| Rush yards / game | 142.2 | 85th | 221.8 | 131st |
| Yards / carry | 4.37 | 61st | 5.68 | 133rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.4% | 91st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 68th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 77th | 1.58 | 115th |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.9 | 131st | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →