
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Howard FCS | W 33–23 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 74Minnesota | L 6–25 | -18.1 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 128Massachusetts | W 19–17 | -13.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 69Jacksonville State | L 0–21 | -19.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | L 23–26 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 112Ball StateCONF | W 24–10 | +2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 133Kent StateCONF | W 28–14 | -6.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 98Northern IllinoisCONF | L 13–20 | -9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 117Western MichiganCONF | L 21–45 | -36.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 50ToledoCONF | L 23–49 | -19.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 131AkronCONF | W 30–27 | -14.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 21 | @ 116BuffaloCONF | W 24–11 | +5.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | @ 46South Alabama | L 10–59 | -26.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.9% | 127th | 42.5% | 68th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.9% | 117th | 46.6% | 98th |
| Passing success rate | 33.0% | 123rd | 37.6% | 26th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.0% | 123rd | 17.2% | 112th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.3% | 132nd | 12.3% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 92nd | 3.48 | 121st |
| Opportunity rate | 34.3% | 118th | 39.4% | 87th |
| Stuff rate | 14.7% | 44th | 13.1% | 112th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 105th | 4.5% | 111th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.3% | 118th | 40.4% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.3% | 59th | 53.8% | 27th |
| Havoc rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 5.4% | 125th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.5 | 120th | 26.5 | 67th |
| Yards / game | 264.1 | 132nd | 401.5 | 95th |
| Yards / play | 4.20 | 129th | 5.66 | 84th |
| Pass yards / game | 152.0 | 125th | 201.8 | 54th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.52 | 130th | 7.16 | 61st |
| Completion % | 55.0% | 116th | 58.9% | 43rd |
| Rush yards / game | 112.1 | 113th | 188.5 | 121st |
| Yards / carry | 3.40 | 115th | 4.78 | 109th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.0% | 107th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 64th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 95th | 1.69 | 107th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.6 | 104th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →