
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 121UTEPCONF | W 17–14 | -10.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs East Tennessee State FCS | W 49–3 | +8.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 64Coastal Carolina | L 16–30 | -11.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 124Eastern Michigan | W 21–0 | +6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 35–28 | -0.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 103Middle TennesseeCONF | W 45–30 | +11.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 28LibertyCONF | L 13–31 | -13.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 66Western KentuckyCONF | W 20–17 | -0.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 41–16 | +11.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 60South Carolina | L 28–38 | -6.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 120Louisiana TechCONF | W 56–17 | +16.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 17–20 | -2.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 73LouisianaNEUTRAL | W 34–31 | +1.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.9% | 61st | 36.2% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.6% | 39th | 33.9% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 37.0% | 103rd | 38.4% | 33rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.9% | 44th | 7.5% | 2nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 80th | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.15 | 71st | 2.53 | 5th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.9% | 66th | 28.0% | 1st |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 77th | 21.6% | 12th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 21st | 7.4% | 29th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.0% | 70th | 34.9% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.8% | 75th | 54.5% | 28th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 47th | 9.9% | 29th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.1 | 50th | 21.3 | 35th |
| Yards / game | 407.7 | 49th | 352.8 | 43rd |
| Yards / play | 5.23 | 83rd | 4.64 | 13th |
| Pass yards / game | 171.0 | 116th | 219.5 | 80th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.35 | 110th | 7.28 | 73rd |
| Completion % | 52.0% | 127th | 58.5% | 37th |
| Rush yards / game | 236.7 | 3rd | 111.5 | 15th |
| Yards / carry | 4.76 | 36th | 2.79 | 4th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.7% | 77th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 2.92 | 13th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.4 | 33rd | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →