The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 69Jacksonville StateCONF | L 14–17 | -1.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Incarnate Word FCS | W 28–14 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 70Northwestern | L 7–38 | -25.3 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 17Arizona | L 10–31 | -9.3 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 61UNLV | L 28–45 | -19.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 120Louisiana TechCONF | L 10–24 | -26.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 27–14 | +0.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 7–28 | -25.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 37–34 | -4.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 66Western KentuckyCONF | L 13–21 | -11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 103Middle TennesseeCONF | L 30–34 | -7.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 28LibertyCONF | L 28–42 | -9.8 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.4% | 103rd | 43.6% | 86th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.4% | 74th | 48.4% | 118th |
| Passing success rate | 35.0% | 115th | 37.3% | 24th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 85th | 18.1% | 123rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.3% | 22nd | 9.5% | 44th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 78th | 3.43 | 117th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.4% | 74th | 42.4% | 115th |
| Stuff rate | 17.9% | 89th | 15.7% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 105th | 5.6% | 74th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.9% | 111th | 43.3% | 101st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.5% | 118th | 79.1% | 129th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 131st | 8.0% | 79th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.9 | 119th | 28.5 | 84th |
| Yards / game | 362.0 | 85th | 386.9 | 77th |
| Yards / play | 5.38 | 76th | 5.87 | 98th |
| Pass yards / game | 217.7 | 75th | 170.2 | 18th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.92 | 44th | 7.08 | 55th |
| Completion % | 53.9% | 118th | 56.5% | 18th |
| Rush yards / game | 144.3 | 84th | 202.3 | 128th |
| Yards / carry | 3.88 | 96th | 5.37 | 129th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.9% | 116th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 96th | 2.17 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.8 | 105th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →