The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 80BYU | L 0–14 | -14.1 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 48Air ForceNEUTRAL | L 3–13 | -6.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 87Houston | L 7–38 | -27.7 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 69Jacksonville StateCONF | L 28–35 | -10.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 28LibertyCONF | L 16–21 | +4.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 13–27 | -13.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 130Florida InternationalCONF | L 27–33 | -23.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 121UTEPCONF | L 34–37 | -16.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs Kennesaw State FCS | W 24–21 | -20.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 120Louisiana TechCONF | W 42–27 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 66Western KentuckyCONF | L 23–28 | -3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 103Middle TennesseeCONF | W 23–20 | -5.4 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.1% | 119th | 41.5% | 56th |
| Rushing success rate | 34.9% | 130th | 41.6% | 50th |
| Passing success rate | 38.7% | 92nd | 41.5% | 73rd |
| Explosive run rate | 7.5% | 133rd | 13.1% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.7% | 117th | 11.4% | 97th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.70 | 131st | 3.20 | 81st |
| Opportunity rate | 26.8% | 133rd | 34.5% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 14.8% | 47th | 13.8% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 4.6% | 108th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.8% | 98th | 39.8% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 37th | 64.7% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 5.9% | 18th | 5.9% | 117th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.0 | 118th | 26.2 | 64th |
| Yards / game | 311.4 | 120th | 394.4 | 87th |
| Yards / play | 4.48 | 126th | 5.76 | 91st |
| Pass yards / game | 222.6 | 66th | 223.8 | 90th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.96 | 126th | 7.63 | 91st |
| Completion % | 63.0% | 50th | 64.6% | 113th |
| Rush yards / game | 88.8 | 128th | 162.9 | 92nd |
| Yards / carry | 2.90 | 127th | 4.43 | 87th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.5% | 102nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 39th | 1.42 | 124th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.2 | 23rd | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →