The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 119Sam Houston | W 14–0 | +1.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Southern Utah FCS | W 41–16 | +1.1 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 68Arkansas | W 38–31 | +8.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 27KansasCONF | L 27–38 | -1.7 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 93CincinnatiCONF | W 35–27 | +0.5 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 30TCUCONF | L 11–44 | -19.1 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 40Texas TechCONF | W 27–14 | +14.6 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 5TexasCONF | L 6–35 | -6.4 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 36West VirginiaCONF | L 7–37 | -19.0 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 34Iowa StateCONF | L 13–45 | -24.2 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 9OklahomaCONF | L 24–31 | +4.6 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 43Oklahoma StateCONF | L 34–40 | -0.1 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.0% | 120th | 45.2% | 106th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.8% | 125th | 45.2% | 85th |
| Passing success rate | 36.3% | 107th | 45.1% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 80th | 18.6% | 127th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 100th | 10.8% | 78th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 92nd | 3.36 | 109th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.7% | 113th | 41.4% | 107th |
| Stuff rate | 13.9% | 33rd | 14.5% | 92nd |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 30th | 2.9% | 130th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.1% | 122nd | 47.7% | 123rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.0% | 12th | 59.0% | 56th |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 29th | 5.6% | 123rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.1 | 101st | 29.8 | 95th |
| Yards / game | 309.8 | 121st | 417.7 | 109th |
| Yards / play | 4.80 | 115th | 5.84 | 96th |
| Pass yards / game | 205.4 | 92nd | 231.3 | 100th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.22 | 117th | 7.06 | 53rd |
| Completion % | 55.6% | 113th | 61.3% | 80th |
| Rush yards / game | 104.3 | 120th | 177.7 | 112th |
| Yards / carry | 3.48 | 112th | 4.86 | 113th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 28.9% | 131st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 39th | 0.92 | 132nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.0 | 30th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →