The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 71Wyoming | L 33–35 | -0.9 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 3Oregon | L 30–38 | +7.6 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Tarleton State FCS | W 41–3 | +5.7 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 36West VirginiaCONF | L 13–20 | +0.1 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 87HoustonCONF | W 49–28 | +14.6 | — | FS2 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 102BaylorCONF | W 39–14 | +21.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 11Kansas StateCONF | L 21–38 | -5.9 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 80BYUCONF | L 14–27 | -13.1 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 30TCUCONF | W 35–28 | +10.0 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 27KansasCONF | W 16–13 | +12.3 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 49UCFCONF | W 24–23 | +1.5 | — | FS2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 5TexasCONF | L 7–57 | -13.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 67CaliforniaNEUTRAL | W 34–14 | +19.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.8% | 62nd | 41.3% | 51st |
| Rushing success rate | 47.5% | 32nd | 42.9% | 59th |
| Passing success rate | 38.6% | 94th | 39.8% | 50th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.1% | 105th | 14.2% | 61st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 112th | 9.0% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.41 | 23rd | 3.20 | 80th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 35th | 38.2% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 14.7% | 44th | 15.7% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 4.9% | 49th | 5.4% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.5% | 79th | 42.0% | 82nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 37th | 54.5% | 28th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 23rd | 8.4% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.3 | 66th | 26.0 | 62nd |
| Yards / game | 386.6 | 66th | 389.5 | 79th |
| Yards / play | 5.19 | 88th | 5.33 | 61st |
| Pass yards / game | 223.8 | 64th | 216.2 | 75th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.19 | 118th | 6.72 | 35th |
| Completion % | 60.4% | 75th | 60.3% | 59th |
| Rush yards / game | 162.8 | 60th | 160.4 | 86th |
| Yards / carry | 4.47 | 53rd | 4.34 | 84th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.7% | 60th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 115th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 52nd | 2.08 | 72nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.9 | 62nd | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →