
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State FCS | W 45–0 | +8.1 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 19Troy | W 42–13 | +32.0 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 14Missouri | L 27–30 | +11.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 49UCFCONF | W 44–31 | +13.5 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 43Oklahoma StateCONF | L 21–29 | -2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 40Texas TechCONF | W 38–21 | +23.7 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 30TCUCONF | W 41–3 | +31.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 87HoustonCONF | W 41–0 | +23.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 5TexasCONF | L 30–33 | +16.4 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 102BaylorCONF | W 59–25 | +19.2 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 27KansasCONF | W 31–27 | +13.3 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 34Iowa StateCONF | L 35–42 | -4.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 32NC StateNEUTRAL | W 28–19 | +14.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.4% | 17th | 38.4% | 21st |
| Rushing success rate | 50.8% | 14th | 39.0% | 26th |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 43rd | 37.9% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.8% | 19th | 13.6% | 49th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 66th | 9.2% | 43rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.38 | 28th | 2.88 | 21st |
| Opportunity rate | 43.6% | 18th | 37.8% | 65th |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 72nd | 23.9% | 5th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 21st | 5.4% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.1% | 13th | 31.4% | 11th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.7% | 3rd | 40.0% | 2nd |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 38th | 9.8% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.9 | 11th | 21.0 | 29th |
| Yards / game | 445.2 | 23rd | 372.5 | 59th |
| Yards / play | 5.93 | 45th | 5.59 | 79th |
| Pass yards / game | 241.2 | 54th | 211.2 | 67th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.36 | 65th | 6.68 | 32nd |
| Completion % | 60.6% | 72nd | 56.4% | 16th |
| Rush yards / game | 204.1 | 12th | 147.5 | 56th |
| Yards / carry | 4.98 | 23rd | 4.76 | 108th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.9% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 14th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 25th | 1.92 | 83rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.7 | 34th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →