The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 83Colorado | L 42–45 | -9.0 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 41–6 | +4.6 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 87HoustonCONF | W 36–13 | +21.7 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 18SMU | W 34–17 | +23.4 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 36West VirginiaCONF | L 21–24 | -1.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 34Iowa StateCONF | L 14–27 | -5.3 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 80BYUCONF | W 44–11 | +22.0 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 11Kansas StateCONF | L 3–41 | -12.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 40Texas TechCONF | L 28–35 | -0.3 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 5TexasCONF | L 26–29 | +11.3 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 102BaylorCONF | W 42–17 | +16.1 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 9OklahomaCONF | L 45–69 | -7.4 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.5% | 16th | 43.8% | 88th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.2% | 21st | 43.6% | 64th |
| Passing success rate | 46.3% | 25th | 43.9% | 106th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.3% | 28th | 12.2% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 86th | 11.6% | 98th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 26th | 3.16 | 72nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.9% | 41st | 38.2% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 13.3% | 24th | 15.4% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 3.3% | 18th | 5.0% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 7th | 40.7% | 73rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.4% | 78th | 61.0% | 67th |
| Havoc rate | 5.1% | 7th | 6.0% | 114th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.3 | 42nd | 27.8 | 77th |
| Yards / game | 466.7 | 10th | 408.3 | 103rd |
| Yards / play | 6.03 | 39th | 5.49 | 70th |
| Pass yards / game | 312.2 | 7th | 239.7 | 114th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.45 | 60th | 7.61 | 89th |
| Completion % | 63.4% | 46th | 59.8% | 52nd |
| Rush yards / game | 154.5 | 71st | 154.7 | 77th |
| Yards / carry | 4.57 | 43rd | 3.97 | 51st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.3% | 15th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 39th | 2.17 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.6 | 76th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →