The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 42UTSA | W 17–14 | +4.4 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 86Rice | L 41–43 | -3.3 | — | NFL Net |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 30TCUCONF | L 13–36 | -20.0 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 119Sam Houston | W 38–7 | +13.7 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 40Texas TechCONF | L 28–49 | -14.3 | — | FS2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 36West VirginiaCONF | W 41–39 | +4.0 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 5TexasCONF | L 24–31 | +7.3 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 11Kansas StateCONF | L 0–41 | -13.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 102BaylorCONF | W 25–24 | -2.2 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 93CincinnatiCONF | L 14–24 | -17.5 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 43Oklahoma StateCONF | L 30–43 | -12.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 49UCFCONF | L 13–27 | -8.5 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.9% | 101st | 47.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.5% | 113th | 47.1% | 107th |
| Passing success rate | 40.2% | 74th | 47.2% | 128th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.5% | 37th | 14.2% | 61st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 80th | 11.9% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.95 | 104th | 3.30 | 100th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 87th | 41.1% | 104th |
| Stuff rate | 20.4% | 120th | 15.6% | 79th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 81st | 6.3% | 55th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.2% | 104th | 49.0% | 127th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.3% | 59th | 70.5% | 110th |
| Havoc rate | 9.9% | 113th | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.7 | 92nd | 31.4 | 106th |
| Yards / game | 360.2 | 86th | 423.9 | 114th |
| Yards / play | 5.44 | 75th | 5.80 | 94th |
| Pass yards / game | 241.5 | 53rd | 243.3 | 117th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.10 | 79th | 7.98 | 111th |
| Completion % | 64.0% | 38th | 68.5% | 130th |
| Rush yards / game | 118.7 | 105th | 168.6 | 101st |
| Yards / carry | 3.97 | 91st | 4.33 | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.8% | 86th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 43rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 85th | 2.17 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.2 | 58th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →