#7
Ball State · 2026

CJ Nelson

WRSenior5' 11", 184 lbsNorth Richland Hills, TX
Ball State Cardinals3-5 · TDC #131
Snap share
34%
2 of 7 started · likely 21–41%
Receptions
12
600th of 2089 in FBS
Rec. yards
90
833rd of 2074 in FBS
Yards / catch
7.5
Rec. TD
0
EPA / play
+0.16
20 plays

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS WR/TE who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

20 plays · +3.3 total EPA · not enough plays to rank yet
All plays+0.16
Passing+0.13
Rushing+0.88
1st down-0.06
2nd down-0.27
3rd down+1.35
Standard downs+0.18
Passing downs+0.08
NelsonWR/TE average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays5%
Pass plays10%
Run plays1%
1st down5%
2nd down6%
3rd down3%
Standard downs6%
Passing downs2%
NelsonWR/TE average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets17—
Target share10.5%—
Catch rate64.7%—
Success rate per target58.8%—
Yards per target5.6—
Explosive catches5.9%—
Deep-target rate17.6%—
3rd-down targets2—
Red-zone targets1—

Charting

Where Nelson's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play

Targets
19
12 caught (63%)
Avg. depth of target
8.9
air yards per target
YAC per catch
1.4
17 yds after the catch
Air yards caught
73
of 90 yds on charted catches
Deep targets
16%
20+ air yards

Where he's targeted19 targets charted

63% comp8.9 avg. depth1.4 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds0–0 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: noneLeft, 0–4 air yards: 3 targets (16%), 3 caught (100%), 20 yds, 6.7 per target3100% · 20yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 3 targets (16%), 3 caught (100%), 17 yds, 5.7 per target3100% · 17yLeft, 10–14 air yards: noneLeft, 15–19 air yards: noneLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 targets (5%), 1 caught (100%), 23 yds, 23.0 per target1100% · 23yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 targets (5%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 1 targets (5%), 1 caught (100%), 10 yds, 10.0 per target1100% · 10yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 2 targets (11%), 1 caught (50%), 15 yds, 7.5 per target250% · 15yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 2 targets (11%), 2 caught (100%), -3 yds, -1.5 per target2100% · -3yRight, 0–4 air yards: 1 targets (5%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yRight, 5–9 air yards: 4 targets (21%), 1 caught (25%), 8 yds, 2.0 per target425% · 8yRight, 10–14 air yards: noneRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 targets (5%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per target10% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: none
fewer more targets
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Career

3 seasons at 2 schools since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play

SeasonTeamGSnapsRecRec ydsRec TDTgt share
2026 so farBall State#131 · 3-5734%1290010.5%
2023Houston#87 · 4-81—————
2022 *Houston#54 · 8-541%2705.3%

Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. CJ Nelson's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded. * Defense rebuilt from the play-by-play (ESPN's box scores that season are missing it); about 10% below official totals.

Game Log

CJ Nelson's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game

4.9 avg. game scoreBest: 6.9 at Bowling Green (Week 7)0 of 5 games at 8.0+
Receiving
WkOpponentResultGame scoreRecYdsY/RTDLong
1@Ohio StateL 3–564.2188.008
2Stony BrookW 41–173.9166.006
3@LibertyL 15–51—no stats recorded
4@Kent StateL 13–26—no stats recorded
5ToledoL 24–39—no stats recorded
6@NorthwesternL 14–455.43103.3010
7@Bowling GreenW 32–316.96599.8023
8Sacramento StateW 34–174.0177.007
2026 · 5 games4.912907.5023

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries1—
Yards101075th / 1519
Yards / carry10—
Touchdowns0—
Long10—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions12600th / 2089
Yards90833rd / 2074
Yards / catch7.5—
Touchdowns0—
Long23—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedPenaltiesSnap share
Wk 1 · Ohio State—60~23 (7–31)3·38%
Wk 2 · Stony Brook—68~7 (2–11)1110%
Wk 4 · Kent State✓ WR54~8 (2–13)1·15%
Wk 5 · Toledo—61··1—
Wk 6 · Northwestern—78~44 (29–54)5156%
Wk 7 · Bowling Green✓ WR66~55 (36–66)7·83%
Wk 8 · Sacramento State—69~36 (11–49)3·52%
Season2 GS512173 (107–210)20334%

Position Room

12 WRs on the Ball State roster, ordered by rec

#PlayerPosClassRecYdsTDTgt shareEPA/play
1Donovan HamiltonWRJR25310116%+0.73
10Jamarion McDougleWRSR23264216%+0.21
5Jabari SmithWRSR21212215%+0.82
11Isaiah ThackerWRSR16217114%+0.45
7CJ NelsonWRSR1290010%+0.16
14Elisha DurhamWRSO57505%+0.73
83Eli HohltWRSR33016%+0.46
15Tayshon BardoWRFR11302%+0.62
DJ YoungWR12102%+1.12
8Corey Thompson Jr.WRSR———8%-0.65
80Derion TalbertWRSO—————
85Ace CooperWRFR———0%+0.46

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 4+ plays per team game. Ball State depth chart →