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Big Ten · 2026

Ohio State Buckeyes

Head coach Ryan Day · Ohio Stadium
6-24-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#2
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+26.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+12.7
7th in FBS
Defense
+13.7
4th in FBS
Schedule so far
+4.6
20th toughest
Projected
9.3-2.7
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+26.4 now, +25.7 preseason · rank unchanged
0+10+20+30FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#2

Final record odds

9.3-2.7 expected · most likely 10-2 (44%)
7-513%8-440%9-344%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Julian Sayin
QB · JR · 21st in FBS
2007yds
19 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Bo Jackson
RB · SO · 41st in FBS
637yds
128 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Jeremiah Smith
WR · JR · 2nd in FBS
1067yds
62 rec · 13 TD
Tackles
Earl Little Jr.
S · SR · 307th in FBS
43tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
DE · SR · 147th in FBS
3sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Jaylen McClain
S · JR · 49th in FBS
2INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs131Ball StateW 56–3 ›+10.1—BTN
2Sep 12@9TexasL 23–24 ›+25.1—ABC
3Sep 19vs135Kent StateW 59–3 ›+7.9—FOX
4Sep 26vs42IllinoisCONFW 42–19 ›+26.6—FOX
5Oct 3@16IowaCONFW 31–14 ›+36.7—CBS
6Oct 10vs79MarylandCONFW 45–16 ›+19.7—BTN
7Oct 17@6IndianaCONFW 19–15 ›+31.4—Fox
8—Bye
9Oct 31@23USCCONFL 18–30 ›+5.2—NBC
10Nov 7vs11OregonCONFOhio State −10.9 · o/u 52.3—77%CBS
11Nov 14vs24NorthwesternCONFOhio State −17.3 · o/u 53.4—88%Fox
12Nov 21@20NebraskaCONFOhio State −7.8 · o/u 49.2—70%
13Nov 28vs37MichiganCONFOhio State −21.8 · o/u 42.7—93%Fox

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.24920th-0.02717th
Success rate49.4%15th35.7%17th
Explosiveness1.24270th1.300102nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.6%19th35.5%16th
Rushing success rate47.1%35th38.8%39th
Passing success rate52.3%8th32.9%5th
Explosive run rate10.6%117th9.8%21st
Explosive pass rate13.9%19th5.9%7th
Line yards / carry3.3234th2.7834th
Opportunity rate42.4%25th37.7%77th
Stuff rate14.5%31st19.7%43rd
Sack rate5.3%73rd2.7%128th
3rd-down conversion46.2%29th40.7%82nd
Red-zone TD rate57.6%90th50.0%29th
Havoc rate11.8%39th14.7%50th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.619th15.513th
Yards / game474.811th273.511th
Yards / play6.5716th4.3815th
Pass yards / game315.39th177.820th
Yards / pass att.10.102nd5.626th
Completion %66.4%32nd53.8%7th
Rush yards / game159.565th95.815th
Yards / carry4.1087th3.2522nd
3rd-down conv. %44.2%33rd38.5%78th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.3845th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1285th1.38112th
Penalty yards / game54.462nd46.0112th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
11.1
10th of 138
YAC per catch
5.0
100th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
19%
16th of 138
Shotgun
73%
131st of 138
No-huddle
7%
130th of 138
QB pressured
8%
125th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
114th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
45th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws230 throws charted

66% comp11.1 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds23–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 13 caught (87%), 113 yds, 7.5 per throw1587% · 113yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 87 yds, 5.4 per throw1675% · 87yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 20 caught (71%), 200 yds, 7.1 per throw2871% · 200yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 9 caught (47%), 124 yds, 6.5 per throw1947% · 124yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw933% · 61yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 71 yds, 8.9 per throw850% · 71yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 128 yds, 21.3 per throw650% · 128yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 51 yds, 5.7 per throw978% · 51yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 24 yds, 8.0 per throw367% · 24yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 129 yds, 12.9 per throw1070% · 129yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 125 yds, 17.9 per throw771% · 125yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 81 yds, 13.5 per throw650% · 81yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 38 yds, 12.7 per throw333% · 38yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (7%), 15 caught (94%), 111 yds, 6.9 per throw1694% · 111yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 10 caught (71%), 68 yds, 4.9 per throw1471% · 68yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 20 caught (80%), 213 yds, 8.5 per throw2580% · 213yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 69 yds, 6.3 per throw1145% · 69yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 107 yds, 13.4 per throw875% · 107yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 100 yds, 11.1 per throw944% · 100yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 182 yds, 22.8 per throw850% · 182y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on240 throws charted

53% comp8.7 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds4–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 17 caught (81%), 47 yds, 2.2 per throw2181% · 47yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 14 caught (74%), 112 yds, 5.9 per throw1974% · 112yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 5 caught (33%), 52 yds, 3.5 per throw1533% · 52yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 113 yds, 10.3 per throw1164% · 113yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 95 yds, 11.9 per throw863% · 95yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), -3 yds, -0.8 per throw4100% · -3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 56 yds, 5.6 per throw1070% · 56yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 6 caught (43%), 63 yds, 4.5 per throw1443% · 63yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 9 caught (53%), 138 yds, 8.1 per throw1753% · 138yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 129 yds, 14.3 per throw944% · 129yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw520% · 20yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (9%), 20 caught (95%), 84 yds, 4.0 per throw2195% · 84yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 14 caught (61%), 148 yds, 6.4 per throw2361% · 148yRight, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 6 caught (43%), 75 yds, 5.4 per throw1443% · 75yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 5 caught (36%), 61 yds, 4.4 per throw1436% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 1 caught (11%), 16 yds, 1.8 per throw911% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 102 yds, 11.3 per throw944% · 102yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction289 carries

Left
22%
4.1 YPC · 30% succ.
Middle
55%
4.8 YPC · 51% succ.
Right
22%
5.7 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced216 carries

Left
23%
3.3 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
58%
4.0 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
19%
4.4 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Ryan Day

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Julian SayinQBJR6' 1"214Carlsbad, CA
13Luke FaheyQBFR5' 11"206Mission Viejo, CA
16Justyn MartinQBSR6' 4"228Inglewood, CA
19Brady GeibelQBSO6' 5"222Sugarcreek, OH
2Legend BeyRBFR5' 10"195Forney, TX
21Anthony RogersRBSO5' 8"203Montgomery, AL
24Ja'Kobi JacksonRBSR6' 0"219Pensacola, FL
25Bo JacksonRBSO6' 0"218Cleveland, OH
28Stanley Jackson Jr.RBJR5' 11"210Westerville, OH
29Favour AkihRBFR5' 11"197Delaware, OH
0Brandon InnissWRSR6' 0"197Hollywood, FL
3Devin McCuinWRSR6' 0"195Jacksonville, TX
4Jeremiah SmithWRJR6' 4"222Miami Gardens, FL
5Kyle ParkerWRSR5' 10"198Allen, TX
6Jerquaden GuilfordWRFR6' 3"195Fort Wayne, IN
7Phillip BellWRSO6' 1"195Mission Viejo, CA
8De'Zie JonesWRSO5' 10"191Wayne, NJ
11Brock BoydWRFR6' 1"196Southlake, TX
15Chris Henry Jr.WRFR6' 5"211Charlotte, NC
23Nolan BaudoWRSR5' 10"185Chicago, IL
33Ryan SeimetzWRFR5' 11"196Jackson, OH
34Brennen SchrammWRSR6' 0"194Medina, OH
80Jaeden RickettsWRFR5' 11"202Pataskala, OH
82David AdolphWRSR6' 5"210Dublin, OH
38Frankie McAllisterTEFR6' 5"235Columbus, OH
83Nate RobertsTESO6' 5"240Washington, OK
85Bennett ChristianTESR6' 6"255Acworth, GA
87Brody LennonTESO6' 4"243Cleveland, OH
88Maxence LeBlancTEJR6' 4"246St. Bruno, Canada
89Nick LautarTEFR6' 6"242Lebanon, OH
51Luke MontgomeryOLSR6' 5"313Findlay, OH
57Ian GecseOLSR6' 4"296Grandview Heights, OH
60Jaxon PowellOLFR6' 4"307Portsmouth, OH
62Joshua PadillaOLSR6' 3"301Huber Heights, OH
63Julian Goines-JacksonOLSR6' 1"303Zanesville, OH
64Simon LorentzOLJR6' 1"290Dover, OH
65Tucker SmithOLFR6' 5"299Phoenix, AZ
66Landry BredeOLFR6' 6"320Mentor, OH
67Austin SiereveldOLSR6' 5"327Liberty Township, OH
69Ian MooreOLJR6' 6"315New Palestine, IN
70Phillip DanielsOLSR6' 5"312Cincinnati, OH
72Deontae ArmstrongOLJR6' 7"310Elyria, OH
74Carter LoweOLSO6' 5"318Toledo, OH
75Carson HinzmanOLSR6' 5"301Spring Valley, WI
76Jake CookOLSO6' 4"310Westerville, OH
77Sam GreerOLFR6' 7"320Akron, OH
78Max RileyOLFR6' 4"302Avon Lake, OH
2Kenyatta Jackson Jr.DESR6' 6"263Miami Gardens, FL
4Qua RussawDESR6' 2"244Montgomery, AL
9Zion GradyDESO6' 4"262Enterprise, AL
12Beau AtkinsonDESR6' 6"260Raleigh, NC
44Epi SitanileiDESO6' 4"258Ontario, CA
56Nate RiegleDEJR6' 2"227Findlay, OH
97Dre QuinnDEFR6' 4"245Buford, GA
3James SmithDTSR6' 3"306Montgomery, AL
53Will Smith Jr.DTSR6' 3"303Dublin, OH
90Damari SimeonDTFR6' 2"292Richland, NJ
91Darryus McKinleyDTFR6' 3"272Lafayette, LA
94Jason MooreDTSR6' 6"316Fort Washington, MD
95Emanuel RuffinDTFR6' 3"297Bessemer, AL
96Eddrick HoustonDTJR6' 3"304Atlanta, GA
98Jamir PerezDTFR6' 3"349Cleveland, OH
5Riley PettijohnLBSO6' 2"235McKinney, TX
14Christian AlliegroLBSR6' 4"245Darien, CT
17Tarvos AlfordLBSO6' 1"237Port Saint Lucie, FL
20Cincere JohnsonLBFR6' 3"237Cleveland, OH
26Payton PierceLBJR6' 1"232Lucas, TX
33Eli LeeLBSO6' 3"237Akron, OH
36CJ SannaLBFR6' 2"235Lewis Center, OH
37Zach HayesLBJR6' 2"226Lagrange, IL
38Eli RiggsLBJR6' 3"230Cincinnati, OH
41Braxton RembertLBFR6' 5"215Hoschton, GA
50Alec DelSignoreLBSR6' 1"225Youngstown, OH
52Ty HowardLBSR5' 11"203Cleveland, OH
54Na'il Diggs Jr.LBFR6' 1"209Charlotte, NC
39Glorien GoughDBJR5' 10"196Palos Verdes Estates, CA
48Jackson GulaDBSO6' 1"193Streetsboro, OH
6Devin SanchezCBSO6' 2"199Houston, TX
7Jermaine Mathews Jr.CBSR5' 11"195Cincinnati, OH
13Miles LockhartCBJR5' 9"196Chandler, AZ
18Cam CalhounCBSR6' 0"176Cincinnati, OH
24Dominick KellyCBSO6' 2"193St. Petersburg, FL
43Amar'e MillerCBFR6' 0"200Pickerington, OH
1Earl Little Jr.SSR6' 0"203Fort Lauderdale, FL
8Jaylen McClainSJR6' 0"203Rahway, NJ
10Leroy Roker IIISJR6' 0"202Fort Myers, FL
11Terry MooreSSR6' 0"200Washington, NC
16Blaine BradfordSFR6' 1"212Baton Rouge, LA
21Brenten JonesSSR6' 2"216Steubenville, OH
28Simeon CaldwellSFR6' 2"210Jacksonville, FL
30Khmari BingSFR6' 0"201Baltimore, MD
32Kaden GebhardtSFR6' 1"210Lewis Center, OH
46Ryan RudzinskiSSR6' 4"218Columbus, OH
49Marcello DiomedePKSR6' 1"197Glen Ellyn, IL
92Cooper PetersonPKFR6' 0"214Charlotte, NC
96Connor HawkinsPKJR6' 1"200Liberty Hill, TX
42Joe McGuirePSR6' 2"209Melbourne, Australia
43Brody JenkinsLSFR6' 0"197Madison, GA
55Dalton RiggsLSSR6' 2"231Eagle, ID
61Landon BealLSJR6' 0"210Grove City, OH

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+26.1, #1) · worst: 2018 (+14.8, #5)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#2
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-24-1#2+26.4+12.7+13.7
202512-29-0#2+21.2+6.2+15.0
202414-27-2#1+21.8+8.3+13.5
202311-28-1#4+17.6+4.5+13.1
202211-28-1#2+18.8+14.1+4.7
202111-28-1#3+17.0+13.5+3.6
20207-15-0#2+18.4+13.2+5.2
201913-19-0#1+26.1+14.8+11.3
201813-18-1#5+14.8+12.7+2.1
201712-28-1#3+19.0+9.3+9.7
201611-28-1#2+18.4+5.0+13.3
201512-17-1#2+17.8+6.6+11.2
201414-18-0#2+19.0+13.3+5.7

Ohio State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →