The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 133Kent State | W 56–6 | +12.4 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 38Boise State | W 18–16 | +8.9 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Villanova FCS | W 48–14 | +4.3 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 11Kansas StateCONF | L 31–44 | +3.2 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 102BaylorCONF | L 35–36 | -9.3 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 27KansasCONF | L 22–51 | -16.4 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 9OklahomaCONF | L 29–31 | +14.6 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 36West VirginiaCONF | L 28–41 | -11.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 93CincinnatiCONF | W 28–26 | -0.4 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 43Oklahoma StateCONF | W 45–3 | +31.2 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 40Texas TechCONF | L 23–24 | +5.7 | — | FS2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 87HoustonCONF | W 27–13 | +7.6 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 58Georgia TechNEUTRAL | L 17–30 | -11.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.3% | 39th | 47.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 48.3% | 25th | 51.9% | 129th |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 61st | 41.2% | 70th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.1% | 8th | 18.7% | 128th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.8% | 10th | 8.3% | 19th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 29th | 3.40 | 113th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.4% | 13th | 45.7% | 129th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 102nd | 16.1% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 6.3% | 78th | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 9th | 42.6% | 91st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.2% | 99th | 53.2% | 25th |
| Havoc rate | 9.5% | 105th | 9.9% | 29th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.1 | 43rd | 30.4 | 102nd |
| Yards / game | 487.0 | 8th | 391.0 | 83rd |
| Yards / play | 6.88 | 8th | 5.59 | 78th |
| Pass yards / game | 258.8 | 42nd | 180.5 | 26th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.19 | 11th | 6.98 | 50th |
| Completion % | 62.6% | 55th | 57.4% | 27th |
| Rush yards / game | 228.2 | 5th | 194.4 | 125th |
| Yards / carry | 5.61 | 5th | 4.90 | 115th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.1% | 5th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 64th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 59th | 2.08 | 72nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.1 | 63rd | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →