
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 49UCF | L 6–56 | -27.6 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 68Arkansas | L 6–28 | -20.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Central Connecticut FCS | W 38–10 | +2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 65Fresno State | L 10–53 | -28.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 3–23 | -20.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 62OhioCONF | L 17–42 | -21.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 124Eastern MichiganCONF | L 14–28 | -23.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 116BuffaloCONF | L 6–24 | -30.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 131AkronCONF | L 27–31 | -16.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 76Bowling GreenCONF | L 19–49 | -30.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 112Ball StateCONF | L 3–34 | -32.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 98Northern IllinoisCONF | L 27–37 | -17.8 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.2% | 129th | 44.8% | 100th |
| Rushing success rate | 32.3% | 132nd | 46.7% | 101st |
| Passing success rate | 38.5% | 96th | 42.5% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.8% | 131st | 15.1% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 104th | 13.3% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.85 | 116th | 3.22 | 87th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.9% | 131st | 36.1% | 39th |
| Stuff rate | 16.2% | 64th | 13.9% | 103rd |
| Sack rate | 11.7% | 129th | 3.7% | 124th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.3% | 129th | 45.3% | 112th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 39.1% | 132nd | 78.9% | 128th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 103rd | 4.9% | 132nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 14.7 | 133rd | 34.5 | 121st |
| Yards / game | 270.4 | 131st | 390.6 | 82nd |
| Yards / play | 4.12 | 131st | 5.96 | 106th |
| Pass yards / game | 164.5 | 122nd | 207.3 | 62nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.45 | 107th | 8.17 | 116th |
| Completion % | 52.3% | 125th | 58.4% | 34th |
| Rush yards / game | 105.9 | 117th | 176.1 | 108th |
| Yards / carry | 2.88 | 129th | 4.59 | 94th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.6% | 128th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.42 | 121st | 1.00 | 130th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.2 | 46th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →