The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 33Miami | L 3–38 | -20.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 128Massachusetts | W 41–28 | +2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 93Cincinnati | W 31–24 | +4.6 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs Delaware State FCS | W 62–20 | +7.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 133Kent StateCONF | W 23–3 | +4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 76Bowling GreenCONF | W 27–0 | +20.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 117Western MichiganCONF | W 34–21 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 50ToledoCONF | L 17–21 | -3.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 62OhioCONF | W 30–16 | +16.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 131AkronCONF | W 19–0 | +1.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 116BuffaloCONF | W 23–10 | +0.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 112Ball StateCONF | W 17–15 | -4.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 50ToledoNEUTRAL | W 23–14 | +11.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 54Appalachian StateNEUTRAL | L 9–13 | -1.5 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.6% | 123rd | 41.4% | 52nd |
| Rushing success rate | 35.2% | 129th | 41.9% | 54th |
| Passing success rate | 38.6% | 94th | 40.7% | 61st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 88th | 11.0% | 14th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 52nd | 7.0% | 9th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 96th | 3.26 | 96th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.2% | 110th | 38.1% | 69th |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 72nd | 13.0% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 84th | 6.8% | 45th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.8% | 114th | 30.3% | 7th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.8% | 93rd | 45.0% | 7th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 81st | 6.8% | 99th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.6 | 80th | 15.9 | 8th |
| Yards / game | 323.5 | 110th | 330.4 | 26th |
| Yards / play | 5.52 | 68th | 4.78 | 19th |
| Pass yards / game | 165.4 | 121st | 181.5 | 27th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.90 | 46th | 6.56 | 22nd |
| Completion % | 56.3% | 105th | 58.9% | 41st |
| Rush yards / game | 158.1 | 65th | 132.2 | 36th |
| Yards / carry | 4.40 | 58th | 3.64 | 29th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.9% | 98th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.14 | 33rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.79 | 49th | 2.50 | 35th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.1 | 13th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →