MAC · 2026

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Head coach Chuck Martin · Yager Stadium
5-33-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#97
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-8.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.5
101st in FBS
Defense
-3.6
95th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.7
124th toughest
Projected
7.4-4.6
bowl-eligible 99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-8.1 now, -8.8 preseason · down 3 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#97

Final record odds

7.4-4.6 expected · most likely 8-4 (38%)
5-713%6-637%7-538%8-411%9-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@38PittsburghL 14–59 ›-19.7—CW
2Sep 12vsHoly Cross FCSW 45–7 ›-3.3—ESPN+
3Sep 19@55CincinnatiL 31–35 ›+4.3—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs80UConnW 24–21 ›-3.7—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs127Bowling GreenCONFL 20–24 ›-26.0—ESPN+
6Oct 10@128MassachusettsCONFW 20–19 ›-13.7—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs132AkronCONFW 34–14 ›-4.3—ESPN+
8Oct 24@122Central MichiganCONFW 28–27 ›-11.0—ESPN+
9—Bye
10Nov 3vs126BuffaloCONFMiami (OH) −13.9 · o/u 49.3—82%ESPN
11Nov 10vs87OhioCONFMiami (OH) −1.4 · o/u 51.2—54%ESPN2
12Nov 17@135Kent StateCONFMiami (OH) −11.7 · o/u 48.3—78%
13Nov 24@82Western MichiganCONFWestern Michigan −7.9 · o/u 48.8—30%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.15358th+0.09976th
Success rate41.0%88th40.9%64th
Explosiveness1.4282nd1.296100th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.9%94th41.8%77th
Rushing success rate42.0%88th42.3%68th
Passing success rate39.8%93rd41.4%83rd
Explosive run rate17.6%17th8.5%10th
Explosive pass rate16.6%4th9.6%67th
Line yards / carry3.1858th2.7227th
Opportunity rate37.6%87th33.9%31st
Stuff rate16.1%55th20.1%38th
Sack rate8.5%126th4.8%92nd
3rd-down conversion36.6%104th42.6%103rd
Red-zone TD rate52.0%110th72.2%123rd
Havoc rate13.9%80th12.8%95th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.075th25.885th
Yards / game358.192nd364.874th
Yards / play5.9151st5.5391st
Pass yards / game217.082nd269.9132nd
Yards / pass att.8.4024th7.5898th
Completion %58.7%109th63.5%98th
Rush yards / game141.191st94.913th
Yards / carry4.4067th3.3426th
3rd-down conv. %35.9%101st40.7%100th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8825th1.0097th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.50108th2.0074th
Penalty yards / game59.583rd51.198th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
11.0
11th of 138
YAC per catch
6.1
34th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
23%
6th of 138
Shotgun
99%
16th of 138
No-huddle
25%
106th of 138
QB pressured
20%
9th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
46th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.1
131st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws199 throws charted

59% comp11.0 avg. depth6.1 YAC/catch23% 20+ air yds10–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 89 yds, 6.4 per throw1471% · 89yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 8 caught (73%), 67 yds, 6.1 per throw1173% · 67yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (12%), 16 caught (70%), 169 yds, 7.3 per throw2370% · 169yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 8 caught (73%), 135 yds, 12.3 per throw1173% · 135yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 63 yds, 10.5 per throw633% · 63yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 5 caught (50%), 164 yds, 16.4 per throw1050% · 164yLeft, 30+ air yards: 12 throws (6%), 3 caught (25%), 113 yds, 9.4 per throw1225% · 113yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 17 yds, 4.3 per throw450% · 17yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 25 yds, 12.5 per throw2100% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 3 caught (100%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw3100% · 37yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 52 yds, 13.0 per throw475% · 52yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 98 yds, 19.6 per throw560% · 98yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (8%), 12 caught (80%), 31 yds, 2.1 per throw1580% · 31yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 10 caught (59%), 96 yds, 5.6 per throw1759% · 96yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (13%), 16 caught (62%), 169 yds, 6.5 per throw2662% · 169yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 10 caught (77%), 175 yds, 13.5 per throw1377% · 175yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 39 yds, 7.8 per throw540% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 3 caught (33%), 89 yds, 9.9 per throw933% · 89yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 36 yds, 6.0 per throw617% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on274 throws charted

63% comp10.4 avg. depth4.1 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds16–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 101 yds, 7.8 per throw1385% · 101yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (9%), 15 caught (60%), 91 yds, 3.6 per throw2560% · 91yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 16 caught (76%), 111 yds, 5.3 per throw2176% · 111yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 126 yds, 11.5 per throw1164% · 126yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 94 yds, 15.7 per throw667% · 94yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 4 caught (31%), 94 yds, 7.2 per throw1331% · 94yLeft, 30+ air yards: 12 throws (4%), 4 caught (33%), 138 yds, 11.5 per throw1233% · 138yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per throw2100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 104 yds, 8.0 per throw1385% · 104yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 8 caught (73%), 67 yds, 6.1 per throw1173% · 67yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 12 caught (75%), 246 yds, 15.4 per throw1675% · 246yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 7 caught (54%), 140 yds, 10.8 per throw1354% · 140yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 43 yds, 8.6 per throw540% · 43yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 84 yds, 14.0 per throw633% · 84yRight, Behind air yards: 11 throws (4%), 9 caught (82%), 35 yds, 3.2 per throw1182% · 35yRight, 0–4 air yards: 34 throws (12%), 26 caught (76%), 128 yds, 3.8 per throw3476% · 128yRight, 5–9 air yards: 37 throws (14%), 27 caught (73%), 233 yds, 6.3 per throw3773% · 233yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 4 caught (44%), 53 yds, 5.9 per throw944% · 53yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 3 caught (30%), 109 yds, 10.9 per throw1030% · 109yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction232 carries

Left
27%
9.2 YPC · 62% succ.
Middle
54%
3.8 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
19%
4.6 YPC · 35% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced203 carries

Left
19%
4.2 YPC · 39% succ.
Middle
54%
4.1 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
28%
4.7 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Chuck Martin

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Caleb HeavnerQBSR6' 2"220Denison, TX
11Drew BellisariQBFR6' 3"190Columbus, OH
13Thomas GotkowskiQBSO6' 0"189Indianapolis, IN
16David McCombQBFR6' 4"220Edmond, OK
19Luke BerryQBFR6' 5"235Grand Haven, MI
0Rodney NelsonRBJR5' 8"195Owings, MD
9D'Shawntae JonesRBSO5' 10"225Cleveland, OH
21Lazaro RogersRBSO5' 10"200Fort Myers, FL
1Maleek HugginsWRSR5' 11"180Bradenton, FL
2Carl JenkinsWRSO6' 2"177Saint Augustine, FL
2Brady SimmonsWRSR6' 1"173Indianapolis, IN
3Quintin SimmonsWRFR6' 1"170Cincinnati, OH
4Devin HyattWRJR6' 2"192Bradenton, FL
5Keith ReynoldsWRJR5' 9"181Adelanto, CA
10Lynel Billups-WilliamsWRJR5' 9"177University Park, IL
14Will PressleyWRFR6' 1"190Oak Ridge, TN
17Justen HodgeWRFR6' 1"190Mentor, OH
18Braylon IsomWRSO6' 3"217Saginaw, MI
24Scoop SmithWRFR5' 5"150Pittsburgh, PA
27Jackson RuthWRFR5' 10"175Cincinnati, OH
80Michael ParrishWRJR6' 2"189Whitehouse, OH
82Andrew BjorsonWRFR6' 1"205Hinsdale, IL
84Tristan ReedWRFR6' 5"180Washington, PA
86Wilson RobertsWRFR6' 0"189Powell, OH
87Leo ScheidlerWRSR6' 1"195Lake Forest, IL
88CJ CastnerWRFR5' 9"175West Chester, OH
15Christian RossTEJR6' 4"225Midland City, AL
44Noam ButbulTEFR6' 0"224Calabasas, CA
48Gray MaultsbyTEFR6' 5"239Rockingham, NC
81Brendan LoftusTEFR6' 6"210Glenview, IL
83Eric KarnerTESO6' 5"226Itasca, IL
89Brayden BoeingTEFR6' 5"231Cincinnati, OH
50Zach HultgrenOLFR6' 5"290Hampshire, IL
51Eric SmithOLSR6' 6"306Fairmont, WV
54Evan MalcoreOLSR6' 6"305Sun Prairie, WI
55Ayden AnnarinoOLFR6' 3"298Pickerington, OH
56Mitchell ButlerOLJR6' 4"290Meridian, MS
58Max HauckOLFR6' 3"290Avon, OH
61Andrew LowryOLJR6' 8"310Newmarket, Canada
63Max KiefOLFR6' 5"270Cincinnati, OH
66Dominik KosznickiOLFR6' 5"260Clinton Township, MI
70Jacob SchorschOLSO6' 5"300Cincinnati, OH
71Lucas BarnesOLFR6' 8"304Canton, MI
72Kris ManuOLSO6' 1"300Dublin, OH
73Brandon Lawhorn MooreOLSR6' 6"311Vandergrift, PA
74Greg Smith Jr.OLJR6' 4"300Pittsburgh, PA
76Brian BeidatschOLSR6' 4"301Greenfield, WI
77Shaun ShahuOLSR6' 7"305Livonia, MI
78Devontae ArmstrongOLSO6' 5"314Elyria, OH
4Brach RiceDLSO6' 1"260Covington, KY
5Devin BellDLSO6' 1"236Akron, OH
9Javon HammondsDLSO6' 4"237Dayton, OH
14Mikah ColemanDLSR6' 4"265Reynoldsburg, OH
20Zhaiylen ScottDLSO6' 1"240Cedar Hill, TX
22Bai JobeDLJR6' 4"234Norman, OK
23Isaiah HarrisDLFR6' 2"210Saline, MI
27London Shackleford-VickroyDLFR6' 4"242Columbus, OH
32James SchottDLSR6' 4"246Greenwood, IN
49Anthony LudingtonDLFR6' 4"234Indianapolis, IN
52Marcus MooreDLJR6' 1"310Massillon, OH
59Mohamed BangouraDLFR6' 7"235Westerville, OH
67Carson NoonanDLFR6' 3"273Medina, OH
90Donovan DavisDLSO6' 1"307Reynoldsburg, OH
92Roosevelt Andrews IIIDLJR6' 1"255Barberton, OH
93Logan HowellDLFR6' 4"295Detroit, MI
96Carmine OrozcoDLFR6' 4"308South Bend, IN
97William Goodvine IIIDLSO6' 1"279Westfield, IN
99OJ AlexanderDLSO6' 2"291Scarborough, Canada
3Malcolm McCainLBJR6' 1"230Snellville, GA
14Luke MyersLBSR6' 1"215Miamisburg, OH
15Blayne MyrickLBSR6' 3"236Fairhope, AL
16Christian McKinneyLBJR6' 0"209Homewood, IL
26Eli CoppessLBSR6' 1"213Pickerington, OH
33Harrison BrewsterLBSO6' 1"214Delaware, OH
35Tyler DikosLBJR6' 1"226Westfield, IN
37Vito McConnellLBFR6' 3"221Massillon, OH
43Grant LyonsLBSR6' 3"242Cincinnati, OH
48Brody SinkLBFR6' 4"205Rochester, MI
53Malik RayLBJR5' 10"240Pickerington, OH
57Evan GilderLBFR6' 1"235Edina, MN
0Amariyun KnightenDBSR6' 0"174Hollywood, FL
2Jackson PonsDBSO6' 1"194North Huntingdon, PA
6Jermaine AgeeDBSO5' 11"181Cleveland, OH
12Kaleb MartinDBJR6' 0"170Chattanooga, TN
17Ben MinichDBSR6' 0"197West Chester, OH
18Isaiah RollinsDBFR6' 0"172Indianapolis, IN
19Jerome SmithDBFR6' 2"188Indianapolis, IN
21Toney Coleman Jr.DBJR6' 1"185Eufaula, AL
25Mitch BoldenDBJR6' 0"206West Chester, OH
28Leo ColombiDBSO6' 3"213Chardon, OH
29Easton JointerDBFR6' 1"205Brentwood, TN
30Josh RingerDBSO6' 1"210Lawrenceburg, IN
31Mason EllensDBFR5' 11"165Glen Ellyn, IL
34Amir MorelanDBFR6' 2"177Port Huron, MI
38Max DeckardDBFR5' 11"170Tipp City, OH
39Eli LimourisDBFR5' 10"185Glen Ellyn, IL
44Jake BrittDBFR6' 0"197Cincinnati, OH
36Carter HoldenPKSO6' 3"220Dublin, OH
38Kellan McLaughlinPKJR5' 10"174Louisville, KY
64Nick BradyLSFR6' 1"210Cincinnati, OH

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+2.0, #56) · worst: 2014 (-13.2, #120)
-15-10-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#85
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-1#97-8.1-4.5-3.6
20257-76-2#85-2.8-3.3+0.4
20249-57-1#56+1.6-3.4+5.0
202311-37-1#56+2.0-3.8+5.9
20226-74-4#102-6.6-6.50.0
20217-65-3#60+2.0-0.2+2.2
20202-12-1#66+0.1-1.2+1.3
20198-66-2#87-3.5-3.0-0.5
20186-66-2#74-0.5-0.3-0.2
20175-74-4#94-4.8-4.6-0.1
20166-76-2#93-6.4-6.8+0.4
20153-92-6#114-12.6-9.6-3.0
20142-102-6#120-13.2-7.1-6.2

Miami (OH)'s past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →