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ACC · 2026

Pittsburgh Panthers

Head coach Pat Narduzzi · Acrisure Stadium
6-33-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#38
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+7.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.8
52nd in FBS
Defense
+5.1
37th in FBS
Schedule so far
-0.3
57th toughest
Projected
7.6-4.4
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+7.9 now, +2.8 preseason · up 12 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#38

Final record odds

7.6-4.4 expected · most likely 8-4 (46%)
7%6-636%7-546%8-410%9-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Mason Heintschel
QB · SO · 96th in FBS
1304yds
14 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Damon Ferguson Jr.
RB · FR · 34th in FBS
662yds
123 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Cataurus Hicks
WR · SR · 21st in FBS
698yds
34 rec · 6 TD
Tackles
Cruce Brookins
DB · SR · 77th in FBS
61tkl
1.5 TFL
Sacks
Jaeden Moore
DL · SR · 75th in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Raion Strader
DB · SR · 16th in FBS
3INT
7 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs97Miami (OH)W 59–14 ›+19.5—CW
2Sep 12vs57UCFW 12–7 ›+4.9—ESPN2
3Sep 17vs65SyracuseCONFW 27–13 ›+12.3—ESPN
4Sep 26vsBucknell FCSW 59–0 ›-6.8—ACCNX
5Oct 2@49Virginia TechCONFW 35–33 ›+11.4—ESPN
6Oct 10vs50North CarolinaCONFL 17–21 ›-2.7—ESPN
7Oct 17@81Boston CollegeCONFL 21–27 ›-6.0—ESPN2
8Oct 24@3MiamiCONFL 23–52 ›+2.7—ESPNEWS
9Oct 31vs78Georgia TechCONFW 34–11 ›+17.0—ESPN2
10—Bye
11Nov 13vs41Florida StateCONFPittsburgh −4.4 · o/u 54.8—62%ESPN
12Nov 21@15LouisvilleCONFLouisville −12.0 · o/u 59.8—21%
13Nov 28@93CaliforniaCONFPittsburgh −10.9 · o/u 53.6—77%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.14563rd+0.02136th
Success rate43.5%55th34.5%12th
Explosiveness1.19098th1.513136th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.6%57th35.7%17th
Rushing success rate46.9%37th33.3%12th
Passing success rate40.1%87th37.4%32nd
Explosive run rate13.9%64th10.4%30th
Explosive pass rate8.7%103rd11.1%93rd
Line yards / carry3.2641st2.404th
Opportunity rate41.0%44th25.9%1st
Stuff rate14.7%34th24.4%9th
Sack rate3.4%24th6.1%61st
3rd-down conversion42.3%55th40.6%81st
Red-zone TD rate57.1%91st56.5%58th
Havoc rate12.3%46th15.2%38th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.949th19.831st
Yards / game446.122nd320.934th
Yards / play6.1041st4.7933rd
Pass yards / game278.420th252.6124th
Yards / pass att.8.0042nd7.4892nd
Completion %61.0%85th63.2%90th
Rush yards / game167.752nd68.32nd
Yards / carry4.5056th2.251st
3rd-down conv. %40.5%63rd35.4%43rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2262nd1.4442nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1117th2.7824th
Penalty yards / game80.1133rd59.052nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.3
47th of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
64th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
42nd of 138
Shotgun
98%
38th of 138
No-huddle
29%
100th of 138
QB pressured
12%
89th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
56th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.4
56th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws301 throws charted

60% comp9.3 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds22–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (3%), 9 caught (90%), 63 yds, 6.3 per throw1090% · 63yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 19 caught (73%), 183 yds, 7.0 per throw2673% · 183yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (8%), 12 caught (48%), 127 yds, 5.1 per throw2548% · 127yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 98 yds, 8.9 per throw1164% · 98yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 25 yds, 12.5 per throw250% · 25yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 3 caught (25%), 77 yds, 6.4 per throw1225% · 77yLeft, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 96 yds, 12.0 per throw838% · 96yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 22 caught (76%), 206 yds, 7.1 per throw2976% · 206yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (6%), 12 caught (63%), 112 yds, 5.9 per throw1963% · 112yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 8 caught (67%), 138 yds, 11.5 per throw1267% · 138yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 103 yds, 12.9 per throw863% · 103yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 75 yds, 75.0 per throw1100% · 75yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (8%), 18 caught (78%), 108 yds, 4.7 per throw2378% · 108yRight, 0–4 air yards: 42 throws (14%), 30 caught (71%), 208 yds, 5.0 per throw4271% · 208yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 15 caught (58%), 150 yds, 5.8 per throw2658% · 150yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 4 caught (33%), 56 yds, 4.7 per throw1233% · 56yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 6 caught (67%), 111 yds, 12.3 per throw967% · 111yRight, 20–29 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 4 caught (29%), 150 yds, 10.7 per throw1429% · 150yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 185 yds, 23.1 per throw850% · 185y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on285 throws charted

63% comp8.0 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds13–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 23 throws (8%), 20 caught (87%), 112 yds, 4.9 per throw2387% · 112yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 15 caught (65%), 102 yds, 4.4 per throw2365% · 102yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 23 caught (79%), 242 yds, 8.3 per throw2979% · 242yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 100 yds, 9.1 per throw1164% · 100yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 2 caught (29%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw729% · 44yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 2 caught (22%), 54 yds, 6.0 per throw922% · 54yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 243 yds, 27.0 per throw956% · 243yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 1 yds, 0.2 per throw633% · 1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 9 caught (56%), 72 yds, 4.5 per throw1656% · 72yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 65 yds, 5.9 per throw1164% · 65yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 10 caught (77%), 156 yds, 12.0 per throw1377% · 156yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 72 yds, 14.4 per throw560% · 72yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 36 throws (13%), 27 caught (75%), 155 yds, 4.3 per throw3675% · 155yRight, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 23 caught (77%), 144 yds, 4.8 per throw3077% · 144yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 12 caught (60%), 104 yds, 5.2 per throw2060% · 104yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 7 caught (78%), 120 yds, 13.3 per throw978% · 120yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 12 yds, 1.5 per throw813% · 12yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 7 caught (58%), 233 yds, 19.4 per throw1258% · 233yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 100 yds, 16.7 per throw633% · 100y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction311 carries

Left
25%
5.5 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
45%
4.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
30%
5.0 YPC · 50% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced235 carries

Left
20%
4.8 YPC · 40% succ.
Middle
62%
3.3 YPC · 31% succ.
Right
18%
3.4 YPC · 24% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Pat Narduzzi

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Mason HeintschelQBSO6' 2"215Oregon, OH
8Angelo RendaQBFR6' 0"180Southlake, TX
12Beau JacksonQBSO6' 3"220West Bloomfield, MI
15Holden GerinerQBSR6' 3"215Savannah, GA
16Corey DaileyQBFR6' 6"200Seguin, TX
19Davin FriedmanQBFR6' 3"195Erie, PA
5Justin CookRBSR5' 10"175Harrisburg, PA
20Synkwan SmithRBSO5' 7"185Roswell, GA
26Damon Ferguson Jr.RBFR5' 11"190Gwynn Oak, MD
27Jaylin BrownRBSO5' 10"210Orlando, FL
34Ethan ShineRBSR5' 10"225Doylestown, PA
35Zaky RobertsRBJR5' 10"190Hurricane, WV
2Tony KinslerWRSO5' 11"175Daytona Beach, FL
3Cataurus HicksWRSR5' 10"185Miami, FL
7Malik KnightWRSR6' 1"185Fort Lauderdale, FL
10Censere LeeWRSR5' 11"170Clearwater, FL
14Benny HaselrigWRSR5' 11"195Pittsburgh, PA
22Bryan HamiltonWRFR5' 11"165Tampa, FL
23Jake SassicWRJR5' 10"180Pittsburgh, PA
24Tyreek RobinsonWRJR5' 10"180Shreveport, LA
30Jack LesniewiczWRFR6' 2"175Hinsdale, IL
40Amah AgwuWRJR6' 3"190Lynbrook, NY
81Rodney DunbarWRFR6' 5"185Thomasville, GA
84Cam SappWRSO5' 10"175Miami, FL
87Demetrice McCrayWRFR6' 0"205Clermont, FL
17Elijah LaggTESR6' 2"235Mountain Home, AR
18Max HuntTESO6' 4"225Tampa, FL
32Truitt BrownTEJR6' 4"235Tampa, FL
44Adam HowanitzTESR6' 4"240Archbald, PA
86Carson KentTESR6' 4"250Milton, GA
49Jordan FieldsOLSO6' 4"265Houston, TX
50Shep TurkOLSO6' 4"310Jefferson Hills, PA
51Jiavani CooleyOLJR6' 4"315Erie, PA
53Kendall StanleyOLSR6' 5"305Albany, GA
56Keylen DavisOLSR6' 2"325Indianapolis, IN
58Mason LindsayOLJR6' 6"320Hyattsville, MD
60Akram ElnagmiOLSO6' 6"315Bristol, England
61Sean FranklinOLFR6' 6"300Mars, PA
63Ty BancoOLSR6' 0"320Washington, PA
64Josh NindlOLSO6' 3"295Gibsonia, PA
66Keith GouveiaOLSR6' 4"305Stephens City, VA
68Torian ChesterOLSO6' 4"310Albany, GA
70Ryan BaerOLSR6' 7"325Eastlake, OH
71Ryan CarrettaOLSR6' 5"320Galena, OH
72Isaiah MontgomeryOLSR6' 4"300Virginia Beach, VA
74Netinho OlivieriOLSR6' 4"310Newton, MA
77John CurranOLFR6' 3"310Gibsonia, PA
78Nick HowardOLFR6' 5"350Pearland, TX
2Isaiah NealDLSR6' 2"250Washington, DC
5Zach CrothersDLJR6' 4"265Weston, FL
8Jaeden MooreDLSR6' 4"250Hanford, CA
11Nick JamesDLSR6' 2"295Prattville, AL
16Eliyt NairneDLSR6' 1"290Charlotte, NC
20Josh PittmanDLFR6' 3"240Suffolk, VA
35JuJu AndersonDLSO6' 4"245Orlando, FL
40Ty MillhimesDLJR6' 2"240Hummelstown, PA
44Jimmy ScottDLSR6' 3"265Buffalo, NY
50Denim CookDLSO6' 3"245Columbus, OH
53Charlie DonehueDLSO6' 1"275Powell, OH
55Sean FitzSimmonsDLSR6' 3"300Monaca, PA
58Reston LehmanDLFR6' 4"235Mcmurray, PA
66Ben KauffmanDLSO6' 3"240Media, PA
76Lincoln HokeDLFR6' 2"285Sewickley, PA
77Dylan PitzerDLFR6' 7"285Derry, PA
90Trevor SommersDLSO6' 2"280Davie, FL
0Braylan LovelaceLBSR6' 2"225Leechburg, PA
10Alex Sanford Jr.LBSR6' 1"235Oxford, MS
19Jayden BonsuLBSR6' 2"215Newark, NJ
24Cameron LindseyLBJR6' 1"210Aliquippa, PA
32Jeremiah MarcelinLBJR6' 2"235Opa Locka, FL
34Marcus JenningsLBFR6' 2"220Southfield, MI
37Davin BrewtonLBJR6' 0"230Neptune, NJ
38Emmanuel TaylorLBSO6' 1"205Virginia Beach, VA
48Desmond JohnsonLBFR6' 1"210Miami, FL
52Abe IbrahimLBSR6' 1"225Carnegie, PA
54Justin ThompsonLBSO6' 2"235Bowie, MD
3Shawn Lee Jr.DBSO5' 10"180Harrisburg, PA
4Rashan MurrayDBSR6' 2"185Pittsburgh, PA
6Raion StraderDBSR6' 0"190Pittsburgh, PA
12Cruce BrookinsDBSR6' 0"205Pittsburgh, PA
14Josh GuerrierDBSO5' 10"185Ocoee, FL
15Tony ForneyDBFR6' 1"195Decatur, GA
21Shadarian HarrisonDBSR6' 1"200Lakeland, FL
22Zion FergusonDBSO6' 1"180Atlanta, GA
23Kanye ThompsonDBSR6' 0"170Mckeesport, PA
25Kentrail McRae Jr.DBFR6' 2"175Clearwater, FL
26Allen BryantDBJR6' 0"180Pahokee, FL
27Nigel MaynardDBJR5' 11"180Smyrna, TN
29Da'Ron BarksdaleDBFR5' 10"195Pittsburgh, PA
39D'Angelo StockerDBSR5' 10"170Coatesville, PA
41Isaac PattersonDBFR6' 0"190Westerville, OH
43Valdez StuvaintsDBSO5' 10"200Mckeesport, PA
47Jaxson MarkDBFR6' 0"170Westerville, OH
48Antonio ChadhaPKSR5' 9"200Bryn Mawr, PA
91Sam HunsakerPKJR5' 9"175Gilbert, AZ
94Carter GenchiPKFR5' 10"160Powder Springs, GA
92Kaemon TijerinaPSO6' 0"215Redford, MI
98Gabe RussoPSR6' 0"235Montgomery, AL
57Alex RudolphLSFR5' 9"200Edwardsburg, MI
59Justin SchmidtLSSO6' 2"235Pittsburgh, PA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2021 (+10.4, #9) · worst: 2023 (-3.5, #84)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#31
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-33-3#38+7.9+2.8+5.1
20258-56-2#31+6.4+5.8+0.6
20247-63-5#64+0.6+2.4-1.7
20233-92-6#84-3.5-4.0+0.4
20229-45-3#28+5.5+4.2+1.3
202111-37-1#9+10.4+7.5+2.8
20206-55-5#48+2.3-1.8+4.1
20198-54-4#66-0.8-5.2+4.4
20187-76-2#47+3.2-0.1+3.4
20175-73-5#65-0.1-0.8+0.7
20168-55-3#38+5.4+10.8-5.4
20158-56-2#52+3.6+1.9+1.7
20146-74-4#49+3.0+3.1-0.1

Pittsburgh's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →