The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 72West Virginia | W 38–31 | +4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 5Tennessee | L 27–34 | +6.2 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 112Western Michigan | W 34–13 | +14.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Rhode Island FCS | W 45–24 | -2.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 99Georgia TechCONF | L 21–26 | -13.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 98Virginia TechCONF | W 45–29 | +7.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 20LouisvilleCONF | L 10–24 | -3.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 55North CarolinaCONF | L 24–42 | -12.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 49SyracuseCONF | W 19–9 | +10.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 97VirginiaCONF | W 37–7 | +22.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 44DukeCONF | W 28–26 | +3.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 82MiamiCONF | W 42–16 | +23.5 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 26UCLANEUTRAL | W 37–35 | +8.2 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 43rd | 36.4% | 7th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.5% | 32nd | 36.2% | 9th |
| Passing success rate | 42.2% | 59th | 36.5% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 77th | 13.8% | 60th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 50th | 10.3% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 43rd | 2.61 | 6th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.5% | 65th | 32.8% | 15th |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 58th | 23.4% | 11th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 34th | 9.0% | 9th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.3% | 58th | 32.7% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.1% | 44th | 57.5% | 54th |
| Havoc rate | 7.2% | 33rd | 11.3% | 16th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.3 | 45th | 24.3 | 50th |
| Yards / game | 405.6 | 50th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.66 | 54th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 222.7 | 78th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.40 | 66th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.0% | 101st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 182.9 | 42nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.56 | 51st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.1% | 66th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 30th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.7 | 113th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →