ACC · 2022 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2022

9-56-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#55
of 131 FBS teams
Rating
+3.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.9
14th in FBS
Defense
-3.9
104th in FBS
Schedule
+0.3
53rd toughest
Preseason
+0.7
rating going in

2022 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+3.0 now, +0.7 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#55

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 27vsFlorida A&M FCSW 56–24+3.6—ACC Network
1Sep 3@62Appalachian StateW 63–61+6.2—ESPNU
2Sep 10@79Georgia StateW 35–28+6.4—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 24vs16Notre DameL 32–45-6.5—ABC
5Oct 1vs98Virginia TechCONFW 41–10+17.9—ACC Network
6Oct 8@82MiamiCONFW 27–24+1.8—ESPN2
7Oct 15@44DukeCONFW 38–35+9.3—ACC Network
8—Bye
9Oct 29vs28PittsburghCONFW 42–24+21.1—ACC Network
10Nov 5@97VirginiaCONFW 31–28-0.6—ACC Network
11Nov 12@24Wake ForestCONFW 36–34+11.0—ESPN2
12Nov 19vs99Georgia TechCONFL 17–21-12.7—ESPN2
13Nov 25vs41NC StateCONFL 27–30-1.3—ABC
14Dec 3vs11ClemsonNEUTRALL 10–39-15.1—ABC
BowlsDec 28vs14OregonNEUTRALL 27–28+8.1—FOX

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.6%18th49.5%124th
Rushing success rate48.2%36th50.3%115th
Passing success rate50.7%9th48.6%121st
Explosive run rate15.7%39th12.6%39th
Explosive pass rate12.0%42nd13.2%116th
Line yards / carry3.1657th3.34105th
Opportunity rate38.9%57th39.8%82nd
Stuff rate16.6%73rd12.8%112th
Sack rate7.3%95th3.0%130th
3rd-down conversion47.4%17th41.4%81st
Red-zone TD rate63.6%53rd75.0%121st
Havoc rate8.5%65th5.2%129th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.427th30.8100th
Yards / game462.819th——
Yards / play6.0332nd——
Pass yards / game309.311th——
Yards / pass att.8.2327th——
Completion %65.4%21st——
Rush yards / game153.567th——
Yards / carry4.2366th——
3rd-down conv. %46.3%19th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0017th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.86102nd——
Penalty yards / game55.375th——

Players

52 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)

52 players

Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →