The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Albany FCS | W 33–7 | +0.9 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 9Penn State | L 6–51 | -21.5 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 53Georgia TechCONF | W 24–19 | +4.7 | — | ACCNX |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 95North CarolinaCONF | L 35–38 | -5.9 | — | ACCNX |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 8UCF | L 14–45 | -10.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 22SyracuseCONF | W 44–37 | +13.3 | — | ACCNX |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 6Notre Dame | L 14–19 | +11.4 | — | NBC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 43DukeCONF | W 54–45 | +10.7 | — | ACCNX |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 38VirginiaCONF | W 23–13 | +17.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 77Virginia TechCONF | W 52–22 | +22.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 66Wake ForestCONF | W 34–13 | +24.2 | — | ACCNX |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 29MiamiCONF | L 3–24 | -12.1 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 1ClemsonNEUTRAL | L 10–42 | -2.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 33StanfordNEUTRAL | L 13–14 | +4.7 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.0% | 70th | 41.6% | 59th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.6% | 18th | 43.6% | 63rd |
| Passing success rate | 32.9% | 123rd | 39.4% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 19.8% | 12th | 14.9% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 115th | 11.5% | 90th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.20 | 29th | 2.96 | 61st |
| Opportunity rate | 46.3% | 10th | 39.1% | 82nd |
| Stuff rate | 19.1% | 75th | 18.0% | 76th |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 109th | 7.1% | 31st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.1% | 70th | 39.9% | 63rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.4% | 32nd | 61.9% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 55th | 12.7% | 71st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.6 | 101st | 49.6 | 125th |
| Yards / game | 369.7 | 98th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.63 | 61st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 141.8 | 121st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.28 | 113th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 87th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 227.9 | 18th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.59 | 13th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.2% | 97th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.36 | 80th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.3 | 110th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →