The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Furman FCS | W 48–7 | +6.2 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 16Texas A&M | W 28–26 | +14.6 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 59Georgia Southern | W 38–7 | +25.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 53Georgia TechCONF | W 49–21 | +30.1 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 22SyracuseCONF | W 27–23 | +10.3 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 66Wake ForestCONF | W 63–3 | +39.8 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 34NC StateCONF | W 41–7 | +30.5 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 89Florida StateCONF | W 59–10 | +31.8 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 115LouisvilleCONF | W 77–16 | +23.1 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 41Boston CollegeCONF | W 27–7 | +26.7 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 43DukeCONF | W 35–6 | +27.4 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 44South Carolina | W 56–35 | +22.6 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 47PittsburghNEUTRAL | W 42–10 | +30.0 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 6Notre DameNEUTRAL | W 30–3 | +39.0 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 7 | vs 2AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 44–16 | +48.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.8% | 5th | 35.4% | 6th |
| Rushing success rate | 57.0% | 4th | 36.9% | 16th |
| Passing success rate | 49.1% | 12th | 34.1% | 5th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.0% | 8th | 9.8% | 4th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 45th | 9.2% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.55 | 5th | 2.44 | 4th |
| Opportunity rate | 45.4% | 12th | 32.0% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 12.6% | 6th | 24.3% | 9th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 19th | 10.0% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 35th | 33.0% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 81.8% | 3rd | 37.5% | 3rd |
| Havoc rate | 7.5% | 4th | 14.0% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.3 | 13th | 13.1 | 2nd |
| Yards / game | 527.2 | 3rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 7.24 | 3rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 279.0 | 23rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.24 | 23rd | — | — |
| Completion % | 64.6% | 22nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 248.2 | 10th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 6.55 | 2nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.0% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.13 | 12th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.9 | 30th | — | — |
79 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →