Final TDC rank
#2
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+23.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+11.7
3rd in FBS
Defense
+11.4
3rd in FBS
Schedule
+4.3
5th toughest
Preseason
+10.5
rating going in
2018 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+23.1 now, +10.5 preseason · down 1 spot since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 115LouisvilleNEUTRAL | W 51–14 | +17.1 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 67Arkansas State | W 57–7 | +31.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 69Ole MissCONF | W 62–7 | +37.2 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 16Texas A&MCONF | W 45–23 | +29.6 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 92Louisiana | W 56–14 | +23.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 99ArkansasCONF | W 65–31 | +23.0 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 15MissouriCONF | W 39–10 | +33.4 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 84TennesseeCONF | W 58–21 | +28.5 | — | CBS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 12LSUCONF | W 29–0 | +39.9 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 10Mississippi StateCONF | W 24–0 | +33.5 | — | CBS |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs The Citadel FCS | W 50–17 | +3.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 17AuburnCONF | W 52–21 | +34.1 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 3GeorgiaNEUTRAL | W 35–28 | +24.6 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 4OklahomaNEUTRAL | W 45–34 | +26.0 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 7 | vs 1ClemsonNEUTRAL | L 16–44 | -1.3 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 58.0% | 1st | 34.2% | 4th |
| Rushing success rate | 59.6% | 1st | 32.8% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 56.4% | 2nd | 35.3% | 16th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.6% | 6th | 10.5% | 10th |
| Explosive pass rate | 20.7% | 2nd | 11.3% | 84th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.74 | 2nd | 2.44 | 3rd |
| Opportunity rate | 48.5% | 7th | 29.4% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 11.9% | 4th | 23.0% | 17th |
| Sack rate | 3.3% | 11th | 10.2% | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 55.5% | 2nd | 32.9% | 11th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 77.0% | 9th | 68.0% | 88th |
| Havoc rate | 6.1% | 2nd | 15.4% | 12th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 55.7 | 2nd | 20.9 | 17th |
| Yards / game | 522.0 | 6th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 7.64 | 2nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 323.6 | 6th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 11.08 | 2nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 68.7% | 5th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 198.4 | 42nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.21 | 23rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 52.1% | 3rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.07 | 10th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.1 | 65th | — | — |
Players
41 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
41 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | QB | ||||
| 10 | Mac Jones | QB | ||||
| 13 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ||||
| 5 | Ronnie Clark | RB | ||||
| 8 | Josh Jacobs | RB | ||||
| 22 | Najee Harris | RB | ||||
| 24 | Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | ||||
| 27 | Jerome Ford | RB | ||||
| 34 | Damien Harris | RB | ||||
| 4 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | ||||
| 6 | DeVonta Smith | WR | ||||
| 11 | Henry Ruggs III | WR | ||||
| 17 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | ||||
| 81 | Derek Kief | WR | ||||
| 82 | Irv Smith Jr. | TE | ||||
| 84 | Hale Hentges | TE | ||||
| 89 | LaBryan Ray | DE | ||||
| 48 | Phidarian Mathis | DT | ||||
| 49 | Isaiah Buggs | DT | ||||
| 92 | Quinnen Williams | DT | ||||
| 10 | Ale Kaho | LB | ||||
| 32 | Dylan Moses | LB | ||||
| 33 | Anfernee Jennings | LB | ||||
| 47 | Christian Miller | LB | ||||
| 2 | Pat Surtain II | DB | ||||
| 4 | Saivion Smith | CB | ||||
| 28 | Josh Jobe | CB | ||||
| 5 | Shyheim Carter | S | ||||
| 14 | Deionte Thompson | S | ||||
| 15 | Xavier McKinney | S | ||||
| 29 | Austin Jones | PK | ||||
| 97 | Joseph Bulovas | PK | ||||
| 12 | Skyler DeLong | P | ||||
| 98 | Mike Bernier | P | ||||
| 7 | Trevon Diggs | DEF | ||||
| 16 | Jamey Mosley | DEF | ||||
| 21 | Jared Mayden | DEF | ||||
| 30 | Mack Wilson Sr. | DEF | ||||
| 87 | Miller Forristall | |||||
| 99 | Raekwon Davis | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →