Sun Belt · 2018 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2018

8-55-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#67
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+0.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
0.0
65th in FBS
Defense
+0.5
61st in FBS
Schedule
-5.2
112th toughest
Preseason
+1.0
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+0.5 now, +1.0 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#67

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsSoutheast Missouri State FCSW 48–21+1.3—ESPN+
2Sep 8@2AlabamaL 7–57-7.6—ESPN2
3Sep 15@103TulsaW 29–20+2.8—CBSSN
4Sep 22vs107UNLVW 27–20-5.2—ESPN3
5Sep 29@59Georgia SouthernCONFL 21–28-3.2—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 9vs19Appalachian StateCONFL 9–35-17.2—ESPN2
8Oct 18vs119Georgia StateCONFW 51–35+0.3—ESPNU
9Oct 27@92LouisianaCONFL 43–47-5.6—ESPN+
10Nov 3vs120South AlabamaCONFW 38–14+8.3—ESPN+
11Nov 10@106Coastal CarolinaCONFW 44–16+18.4—ESPN+
12Nov 17vs100UL MonroeCONFW 31–17+4.5—ESPN+
13Nov 24@121Texas StateCONFW 33–7+14.0—ESPN3
BowlsDec 29vs83NevadaNEUTRALL 13–16-5.4—CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.6%35th38.4%21st
Rushing success rate45.6%47th41.3%42nd
Passing success rate45.6%26th34.6%9th
Explosive run rate16.5%40th16.6%96th
Explosive pass rate13.5%21st13.5%110th
Line yards / carry3.3716th2.6719th
Opportunity rate40.0%42nd36.6%45th
Stuff rate13.4%9th24.5%8th
Sack rate5.5%47th7.7%23rd
3rd-down conversion44.3%38th36.6%30th
Red-zone TD rate65.9%53rd60.7%57th
Havoc rate10.9%28th15.1%17th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.867th25.642nd
Yards / game466.217th——
Yards / play6.0431st——
Pass yards / game281.521st——
Yards / pass att.7.7546th——
Completion %64.2%25th——
Rush yards / game184.849th——
Yards / carry4.7343rd——
3rd-down conv. %39.8%58th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8544th——
Penalty yards / game66.5106th——

Players

71 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

71 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →