
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State FCS | W 48–21 | +1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 2Alabama | L 7–57 | -7.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 103Tulsa | W 29–20 | +2.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 107UNLV | W 27–20 | -5.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 59Georgia SouthernCONF | L 21–28 | -3.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | vs 19Appalachian StateCONF | L 9–35 | -17.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 119Georgia StateCONF | W 51–35 | +0.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 92LouisianaCONF | L 43–47 | -5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 120South AlabamaCONF | W 38–14 | +8.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 106Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 44–16 | +18.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 100UL MonroeCONF | W 31–17 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 121Texas StateCONF | W 33–7 | +14.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 83NevadaNEUTRAL | L 13–16 | -5.4 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 35th | 38.4% | 21st |
| Rushing success rate | 45.6% | 47th | 41.3% | 42nd |
| Passing success rate | 45.6% | 26th | 34.6% | 9th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.5% | 40th | 16.6% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.5% | 21st | 13.5% | 110th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 16th | 2.67 | 19th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 42nd | 36.6% | 45th |
| Stuff rate | 13.4% | 9th | 24.5% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 47th | 7.7% | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.3% | 38th | 36.6% | 30th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 53rd | 60.7% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 28th | 15.1% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.8 | 67th | 25.6 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 466.2 | 17th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.04 | 31st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 281.5 | 21st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.75 | 46th | — | — |
| Completion % | 64.2% | 25th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 184.8 | 49th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.73 | 43rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.8% | 58th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.5 | 106th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →