The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 76Florida Atlantic | W 63–14 | +29.6 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 91UCLA | W 49–21 | +19.0 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 36Iowa StateCONF | W 37–27 | +17.6 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 30Army | W 28–21 | +10.7 | — | |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 79BaylorCONF | W 66–33 | +23.8 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 25TexasCONFNEUTRAL | L 45–48 | +5.1 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 51TCUCONF | W 52–27 | +29.3 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 71Kansas StateCONF | W 51–14 | +25.8 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 46Texas TechCONF | W 51–46 | +10.8 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 35Oklahoma StateCONF | W 48–47 | +4.1 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 98KansasCONF | W 55–40 | +5.7 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 21West VirginiaCONF | W 59–56 | +14.8 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 25TexasNEUTRAL | W 39–27 | +20.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 2AlabamaNEUTRAL | L 34–45 | +12.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 54.9% | 2nd | 47.6% | 115th |
| Rushing success rate | 54.4% | 7th | 47.3% | 105th |
| Passing success rate | 55.4% | 3rd | 48.0% | 121st |
| Explosive run rate | 23.6% | 1st | 11.6% | 18th |
| Explosive pass rate | 17.9% | 4th | 12.8% | 104th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.68 | 3rd | 3.13 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 51.0% | 2nd | 39.1% | 82nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.6% | 34th | 16.3% | 98th |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 35th | 4.7% | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 7th | 48.1% | 119th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.0% | 28th | 85.1% | 129th |
| Havoc rate | 9.3% | 12th | 7.3% | 130th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 59.1 | 1st | 33.3 | 82nd |
| Yards / game | 570.3 | 1st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 8.43 | 1st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 322.9 | 7th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 11.27 | 1st | — | — |
| Completion % | 68.3% | 7th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 247.4 | 11th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 6.57 | 1st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.7% | 4th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.36 | 20th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 88th | — | — |
51 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyler Murray | QB | ||||
| 10 | Austin Kendall | QB | ||||
| 15 | Tanner Mordecai | QB | ||||
| 4 | Trey Sermon | RB | ||||
| 21 | Marcelias Sutton | RB | ||||
| 22 | TJ Pledger | RB | ||||
| 24 | Rodney Anderson | RB | ||||
| 26 | Kennedy Brooks | RB | ||||
| 27 | Jeremiah Hall | FB | ||||
| 45 | Carson Meier | FB | ||||
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | ||||
| 3 | Mykel Jones | WR | ||||
| 5 | Hollywood Brown | WR | ||||
| 12 | A.D. Miller | WR | ||||
| 14 | Charleston Rambo | WR | ||||
| 25 | Drake Stoops | WR | ||||
| 28 | Reggie Turner | WR | ||||
| 83 | Nick Basquine | WR | ||||
| 84 | Lee Morris | WR | ||||
| 87 | Myles Tease | WR | ||||
| 89 | Jaylon Robinson | WR | ||||
| 4 | Ryan Jones | TE | ||||
| 80 | Grant Calcaterra | TE | ||||
| 81 | Brayden Willis | TE | ||||
| 97 | Marquise Overton | DL | ||||
| 7 | Ronnie Perkins | DE | ||||
| 42 | Mark Jackson Jr. | DE | ||||
| 72 | Amani Bledsoe | DE | ||||
| 93 | Tyreece Lott | DE | ||||
| 95 | Isaiah Thomas | DE | ||||
| 90 | Neville Gallimore | DT | ||||
| 9 | Kenneth Murray Jr. | LB | ||||
| 11 | Nik Bonitto | LB | ||||
| 18 | Curtis Bolton III | LB | ||||
| 19 | Caleb Kelly | LB | ||||
| 20 | Robert Barnes | LB | ||||
| 23 | DaShaun White | LB | ||||
| 38 | Bryan Mead | LB | ||||
| 40 | Jon-Michael Terry | LB | ||||
| 1 | Jordan Parker | DB | ||||
| 13 | Tre Norwood | DB | ||||
| 25 | Justin Broiles | DB | ||||
| Miguel Edwards | DB | |||||
| 6 | Tre Brown | CB | ||||
| 11 | Parnell Motley | CB | ||||
| 44 | Bookie Radley-Hiles | CB | ||||
| 8 | Kahlil Haughton | S | ||||
| 43 | Austin Seibert | PK | ||||
| 47 | Gabe Brkic | PK | ||||
| 55 | Kenneth Mann | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →