Big 12 · 2018 · Final

TCU Horned Frogs 2018

7-64-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#51
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+2.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.7
106th in FBS
Defense
+7.2
16th in FBS
Schedule
+2.0
33rd toughest
Preseason
+6.8
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.5 now, +6.8 preseason · down 39 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#51

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsSouthern FCSW 55–7+8.6—
2Sep 7@94SMUW 42–12+23.6—ESPN2
3Sep 15vs5Ohio StateNEUTRALL 28–40+2.8—ABC
4Sep 22@25TexasCONFL 16–31-4.4—FOX
5Sep 29vs36Iowa StateCONFW 17–14+5.7—ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 11vs46Texas TechCONFL 14–17-2.1—ESPN
8Oct 20vs4OklahomaCONFL 27–52-11.8—ABC
9Oct 27@98KansasCONFL 26–27-5.3—FS1
10Nov 3vs71Kansas StateCONFW 14–13-1.8—FS1
11Nov 10@21West VirginiaCONFL 10–47-16.8—FS1
12Nov 17@79BaylorCONFW 16–9+8.6—FS1
13Nov 24vs35Oklahoma StateCONFW 31–24+10.1—FOX
BowlsDec 26vs78CaliforniaNEUTRALW 10–7+2.2—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.9%86th38.2%20th
Rushing success rate44.8%61st39.9%27th
Passing success rate38.7%93rd36.6%29th
Explosive run rate12.0%116th16.4%93rd
Explosive pass rate9.4%98th10.6%66th
Line yards / carry2.8987th2.7225th
Opportunity rate39.4%54th35.7%35th
Stuff rate20.2%92nd22.7%21st
Sack rate3.0%9th7.9%20th
3rd-down conversion39.2%81st33.3%15th
Red-zone TD rate46.9%128th57.1%33rd
Havoc rate12.1%50th15.4%12th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.5111th34.889th
Yards / game368.199th——
Yards / play5.2095th——
Pass yards / game211.588th——
Yards / pass att.6.71103rd——
Completion %58.3%83rd——
Rush yards / game156.682nd——
Yards / carry4.1284th——
3rd-down conv. %37.3%82nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2314th——
Penalty yards / game39.17th——

Players

61 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

61 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →