ACC · 2018 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2018

2-91-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#95
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-5.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.5
60th in FBS
Defense
-5.9
107th in FBS
Schedule
-0.1
57th toughest
Preseason
-2.3
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-5.4 now, -2.3 preseason · down 4 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#95

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1@78CaliforniaL 17–24-5.4—FOX
2Sep 8@117East CarolinaL 19–41-32.4—ESPNU
3Sep 15vs8UCFUCF −16.1 · o/u 67.2—13%ESPNU
4Sep 22vs47PittsburghCONFW 38–35+3.8—ACCNX
5Sep 27@29MiamiCONFL 10–47-19.6—ESPN
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs77Virginia TechCONFL 19–22-6.2—ESPNU
8Oct 20@22SyracuseCONFL 37–40+8.3—ACCNX
9Oct 27@38VirginiaCONFL 21–31-2.8—ACCNX
10Nov 3vs53Georgia TechCONFL 28–38-10.3—ACCNX
11Nov 10@43DukeCONFL 35–42-0.4—ACCNX
12Nov 17vsWestern Carolina FCSW 49–26-0.8—ACCNX
13Nov 24vs34NC StateCONFL 28–34-3.0—ACCNX

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.0%85th42.6%68th
Rushing success rate44.9%59th45.4%89th
Passing success rate39.5%89th39.6%52nd
Explosive run rate18.3%23rd17.5%110th
Explosive pass rate9.0%101st10.3%56th
Line yards / carry2.9476th3.21108th
Opportunity rate39.6%49th39.6%89th
Stuff rate21.3%104th15.8%106th
Sack rate2.2%5th7.6%25th
3rd-down conversion39.3%80th44.7%105th
Red-zone TD rate55.0%113th69.0%92nd
Havoc rate12.8%67th13.8%39th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.485th34.588th
Yards / game442.131st——
Yards / play5.8844th——
Pass yards / game249.148th——
Yards / pass att.6.60106th——
Completion %58.8%77th——
Rush yards / game193.044th——
Yards / carry5.2819th——
3rd-down conv. %34.5%112th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.917th——
Penalty yards / game55.673rd——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →