The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 129UConnCONF | W 56–17 | +11.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs South Carolina State FCS | W 38–0 | +5.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 95North Carolina | UCF −16.1 · o/u 67.2 | — | ESPNU | |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 76Florida Atlantic | W 56–36 | +16.9 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 47Pittsburgh | W 45–14 | +27.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 94SMUCONF | W 48–20 | +17.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 45MemphisCONF | W 31–30 | +7.4 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 117East CarolinaCONF | W 37–10 | +14.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 56TempleCONF | W 52–40 | +11.5 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 96NavyCONF | W 35–24 | +2.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 31CincinnatiCONF | W 38–13 | +27.9 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 97South FloridaCONF | W 38–10 | +21.9 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 45Memphis | W 56–41 | +16.4 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 12LSUNEUTRAL | L 32–40 | +3.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.8% | 20th | 40.9% | 49th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.5% | 25th | 41.4% | 45th |
| Passing success rate | 46.9% | 21st | 40.3% | 59th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.7% | 13th | 18.0% | 116th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.1% | 7th | 10.0% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.52 | 8th | 3.01 | 72nd |
| Opportunity rate | 44.4% | 15th | 39.6% | 89th |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 12th | 22.0% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 42nd | 5.9% | 65th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 51.9% | 4th | 43.5% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 81.8% | 3rd | 45.9% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 18th | 13.8% | 39th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 43.2 | 16th | 24.6 | 35th |
| Yards / game | 522.7 | 5th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.76 | 10th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 257.5 | 37th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.54 | 14th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.1% | 92nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 265.2 | 8th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.80 | 8th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.3% | 5th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 25th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.2 | 104th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | D.J. Mack Jr. | QB | ||||
| 10 | McKenzie Milton | QB | ||||
| 12 | Quadry Jones | QB | ||||
| 2 | Otis Anderson | RB | ||||
| 4 | Taj McGowan | RB | ||||
| 9 | Adrian Killins | RB | ||||
| 24 | Bentavious Thompson | RB | ||||
| 30 | Greg McCrae | RB | ||||
| 5 | Dredrick Snelson | WR | ||||
| 6 | Tristan Payton | WR | ||||
| 6 | Marlon Williams | WR | ||||
| 9 | Will Vereen | WR | ||||
| 13 | Gabe Davis | WR | ||||
| 16 | Tre Nixon | WR | ||||
| 42 | Saan Lewis | WR | ||||
| 83 | Elijah Spann | WR | ||||
| 86 | Michael Colubiale | WR | ||||
| 87 | Jacob Harris | WR | ||||
| 47 | Deangelo Frazier | TE | ||||
| 48 | Austin Ruger | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jake Hescock | TE | ||||
| 4 | Stephon Zayas | DL | ||||
| 6 | Brendon Hayes | DL | ||||
| 10 | Titus Davis | DL | ||||
| 35 | Dedrion Bacote-Sweat | DL | ||||
| 43 | Aaron Cochran | DL | ||||
| 54 | A.J. Wooten | DL | ||||
| 91 | Joey Connors | DL | ||||
| 94 | Mason Cholewa | DL | ||||
| 98 | Bruce Johnson | DL | ||||
| 58 | Randy Charlton | DE | ||||
| 12 | Kenny Turnier | DT | ||||
| 22 | Kalia Davis | DT | ||||
| 94 | Anthony Montalvo | DT | ||||
| 96 | Roderick Perry II | DT | ||||
| 12 | Eric Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 24 | Gabriel Luyanda | LB | ||||
| 40 | Eriq Gilyard | LB | ||||
| 56 | Pat Jasinski | LB | ||||
| 14 | Nevelle Clarke | DB | ||||
| 18 | Dyllon Lester | DB | ||||
| 19 | Trey Green | DB | ||||
| 20 | Brandon Moore | DB | ||||
| 21 | Rashard Causey | DB | ||||
| 26 | Jermaine McMillian | DB | ||||
| 27 | Richie Grant | DB | ||||
| 29 | Keenan Johnson | DB | ||||
| 34 | Jon Powell | DB | ||||
| 3 | Antwan Collier | S | ||||
| 25 | Kyle Gibson | S | ||||
| 11 | Matthew Wright | PK | ||||
| 48 | Mac Loudermilk | P | ||||
| 9 | Trysten Hill | DEF | ||||
| 28 | Shawn Burgess-Becker | DEF | ||||
| 44 | Nate Evans | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →