Big Ten · 2018 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2018

9-46-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#9
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+12.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.4
18th in FBS
Defense
+6.9
18th in FBS
Schedule
+3.2
21st toughest
Preseason
+10.4
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+12.3 now, +10.4 preseason · down 7 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#9

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vs19Appalachian StateW 45–38+14.5—BTN
2Sep 8@47PittsburghW 51–6+37.1—ABC
3Sep 15vs124Kent StateW 63–10+18.2—FS1
4Sep 21@104IllinoisCONFW 63–24+22.8—FS1
5Sep 29vs5Ohio StateCONFL 26–27+11.4—ABC
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs39Michigan StateCONFL 17–21-1.8—BTN
8Oct 20@68IndianaCONFW 33–28+7.7—ABC
9Oct 27vs13IowaCONFW 30–24+14.7—ESPN
10Nov 3@7MichiganCONFL 7–42-11.5—ESPN
11Nov 10vs28WisconsinCONFW 22–10+17.0—ABC
12Nov 17@110RutgersCONFW 20–7+4.8—BTN
13Nov 24vs61MarylandCONFW 38–3+26.6—ABC
BowlsJan 1vs26KentuckyNEUTRALL 24–27+4.9—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.5%45th38.5%23rd
Rushing success rate49.9%17th42.2%53rd
Passing success rate38.3%94th34.6%9th
Explosive run rate18.1%27th16.0%84th
Explosive pass rate12.1%45th7.1%10th
Line yards / carry3.4711th2.8950th
Opportunity rate45.2%13th38.4%71st
Stuff rate16.0%26th21.9%31st
Sack rate7.1%88th9.1%8th
3rd-down conversion36.8%107th34.9%19th
Red-zone TD rate71.4%25th55.9%31st
Havoc rate9.7%16th13.2%55th
Box score · season totals
Points / game45.69th32.476th
Yards / game423.045th——
Yards / play5.9143rd——
Pass yards / game218.177th——
Yards / pass att.7.4865th——
Completion %54.1%108th——
Rush yards / game204.929th——
Yards / carry5.1127th——
3rd-down conv. %36.9%90th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3881st——
Penalty yards / game42.420th——

Players

65 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

65 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →