Big Ten · 2026

Penn State Nittany Lions

Head coach Matt Campbell · Beaver Stadium
3-00-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#7
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.2
35th in FBS
Defense
+9.1
4th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.8
61st toughest
Projected
9.7-2.3
bowl-eligible 100%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.3 now, +4.9 preseason · up 15 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#7

Final record odds

9.7-2.3 expected · most likely 10-2 (27%)
6-66%7-513%8-422%9-327%10-222%11-19%12-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs101MarshallW 45–0+24.2—FS1
2Sep 12@87TempleW 27–9+18.2—ESPN2
3Sep 19vs129BuffaloW 55–13+16.7—BTN
4Sep 26vs66WisconsinCONFPenn State −14.9 · o/u 40.2—84%Peacock
5Oct 2@55NorthwesternCONFPenn State −7.0 · o/u 41.5—68%FOX
6Oct 10vs11USCCONFPenn State −5.6 · o/u 53.1—64%
7Oct 17@25MichiganCONFPenn State −2.6 · o/u 39.8—57%
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs94PurdueCONFPenn State −18.7 · o/u 55.5—89%
10Nov 7@50WashingtonCONFPenn State −6.6 · o/u 42.3—67%
11Nov 14vs65MinnesotaCONFPenn State −14.7 · o/u 40.1—83%
12Nov 21vs113RutgersCONFPenn State −21.6 · o/u 50.8—92%
13Nov 28@37MarylandCONFPenn State −4.8 · o/u 42.5—63%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.42610th-0.08522nd
Success rate47.6%39th27.9%2nd
Explosiveness1.44912th1.12132nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.1%52nd26.1%2nd
Rushing success rate40.0%101st28.3%10th
Passing success rate53.0%24th24.2%1st
Explosive run rate12.0%94th9.4%33rd
Explosive pass rate20.6%7th0.0%1st
Line yards / carry2.79115th2.2810th
Opportunity rate37.3%90th26.4%13th
Stuff rate6.7%1st26.4%11th
Sack rate4.5%71st6.5%45th
3rd-down conversion40.0%86th15.4%2nd
Red-zone TD rate60.0%84th0.0%1st
Havoc rate7.8%11th18.3%22nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game42.322nd7.33rd
Yards / game492.023rd201.04th
Yards / play7.2716th3.416th
Pass yards / game287.028th90.02nd
Yards / pass att.10.807th3.601st
Completion %70.0%29th56.0%33rd
Rush yards / game205.038th111.051st
Yards / carry5.1041st3.4352nd
3rd-down conv. %42.1%67th15.4%1st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.001st1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0033rd1.6774th
Penalty yards / game53.760th45.0105th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Matt Campbell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Rocco BechtQBSR6' 1"208Wesley Chapel, FL
7Alex ManskeQBFR6' 3"210Algona, IA
10Connor BarryQBSR6' 1"211Vienna, VA
12Kase EvansQBFR6' 3"200Lexington, TX
14Peyton FalzoneQBFR6' 5"216Nazareth, PA
19Jack LambertQBJR6' 3"202Hampstead, NC
1James PeoplesRBJR5' 10"214San Antonio, TX
21Carson HansenRBSR6' 2"216Lakeville, MN
25Quinton Martin Jr.RBSO6' 1"212Belle Vernon, PA
29D'Antae SheffeyRBFR5' 11"201State College, PA
36Amar'e GloverRBFR6' 0"205Middletown, DE
0Chase SowellWRSR6' 3"203Humble, TX
2Zay RobinsonWRFR5' 11"186Des Moines, IA
4Brett EskildsenWRJR6' 1"198Frisco, TX
6Koby HowardWRSO5' 11"203Pensacola, FL
7Peter GonzalezWRSO6' 2"211Mars, PA
8Karon BrookinsWRFR6' 5"205Pennsauken, NJ
9Amarion JacksonWRFR6' 2"192Omaha, NE
11Lyrick SamuelWRFR6' 4"183Brooklyn, NY
13Hank LustigWRFR5' 9"170State College, PA
15Keith Jones Jr.WRSO6' 4"197New Orleans, LA
31Logan CunninghamWRSR5' 8"183Belle Vernon, PA
37Max HeffnerWRFR5' 11"176Birdsboro, PA
82Ethan BlackWRJR5' 9"178Davidsville, PA
18Benjamin BrahmerTESR6' 7"250Pierce, NE
80Cooper AlexanderTESO6' 4"241Washington, OK
83Brian KortovichTEFR6' 4"241Willoughby, OH
84Gabe BurkleTESR6' 6"247Cedar Rapids, IA
87Andrew RappleyeaTEJR6' 4"242Millbrook, NY
89Finn FurmanekTEJR6' 3"251State College, PA
50Cooper CousinsOLJR6' 6"320Erie, PA
51Brock RikerOLSO6' 4"291Brock, TX
52Dominic RulliOLSR6' 3"298Burlington, KY
54Vaea IkakoulaOLFR6' 3"326Laie, HI
55Chimdy OnohOLJR6' 5"320Baltimore, MD
56Mason BandhauerOLFR6' 6"297Fort Collins, CO
61Liam HoranOLSO6' 3"292West Chester, PA
65Jim FitzgeraldOLSR6' 7"337Severna Park, MD
67Henry BoehmeOLJR6' 5"285Birmingham, AL
68Anthony DonkohOLJR6' 5"334Aldie, VA
70Trevor BuhrOLJR6' 4"318Washington, MO
71Garrett SextonOLSO6' 6"315Hartland, WI
72Tyshon HuffOLJR6' 4"292Cincinnati, OH
74Kuol Kuol IIOLFR6' 6"291Centerville, OH
75Pete EglitisOLFR6' 7"295Columbus, OH
76Hunter AlbrightOLFR6' 5"326Hollidaysburg, PA
77Owen AlicieneOLFR6' 7"303Cheshire, CT
78Malachi GoodmanOLFR6' 6"330Bloomfield, NJ
79Donnie HarbourOLSO6' 3"333Milwaukee, WI
88Elijah ReederDLFR6' 6"210Bayville, NJ
1Ikenna EzeoguDESR6' 5"273Blue Springs, MO
11LaVar Arrington IIDESO6' 3"220Annapolis, MD
18Max GranvilleDESO6' 3"252Sugar Land, TX
19Yvan KemajouDESO6' 3"252Burtonsville, MD
33Alexander McPhersonDESO6' 6"254Stuart, FL
42Mason RobinsonDEJR6' 3"255Randallstown, MD
43Dayshaun BurnettDEFR6' 3"226Pittsburgh, PA
47Aidan ProbstDESO6' 2"246Erie, PA
86Bobby MearsDEJR6' 4"257West Chester, PA
89Jackson FordDEFR6' 4"264Phoenixville, PA
39Ty BlandingDTJR6' 1"301Bronx, NY
56Alijah CarnellDTSO6' 5"299Henderson, NV
73Caleb BrewerDTSO6' 4"295Reading, PA
90Liam AndrewsDTSO6' 4"276Brookline, MA
91Armstrong NnodimDTSO6' 2"310Mesquite, TX
92Siale TaupakiDTSR6' 2"326East Oakland, CA
94De'Andre CookDTSO6' 4"298Washington, DC
8Kooper EbelLBSR6' 4"233Hartley, IA
9Cael BrezinaLBJR6' 3"233Downers Grove, IL
10Caleb BaconLBSR6' 4"242Lake Mills, IA
13Tony RojasLBJR6' 2"236Fairfax, VA
25Alex TatschLBSO6' 2"235Latrobe, PA
26Cam SmithLBFR6' 0"222Salem, NJ
32John KlostermanLBSR5' 11"223Iowa City, IA
34Chris FileppoLBSO6' 4"219Doylestown, PA
40Keian KaiserLBFR6' 4"215Sidney, NE
40Jake LukacLBFR6' 1"210State College, PA
45Josh BanksLBFR6' 1"200Hollidaysburg, PA
0Jahmir JosephCBFR6' 0"190Nyack, NY
2Audavion CollinsCBSR5' 11"183Covington, GA
5Daryus DixsonCBSO6' 0"184Perris, CA
12Xxavier ThomasCBFR5' 11"180Canonsburg, PA
15Joshua JohnsonCBFR6' 2"189Ironton, OH
16Donte NastasiCBJR5' 10"169State College, PA
20Tyrell ChatmanCBFR6' 2"196Lincoln, NE
29Hunter SowellCBFR5' 10"180Humble, TX
35Tyler ArmsteadCBSO6' 1"177Canonsburg, PA
3Jamison PattonSSR6' 2"206Des Moines, IA
4Jeremiah CooperSSR6' 0"188El Paso, TX
24Ibn McDanielsSSO6' 3"202Elizabeth, NJ
27Omarion DavisSSO5' 11"198Charlotte, NC
30Christian AskewSFR6' 4"199Kathleen, GA
31Marcus Neal Jr.SJR6' 1"216Kansas City, MO
41Jake LaVerdeSFR6' 2"210Kirtland, OH
94Ryan BarkerPKJR6' 2"191Landenberg, PA
95Cristiano RosaPKSR5' 11"205Shelton, CT
98Matthew ParkerPKFR6' 0"224York, PA
96Lucas TenbrockPFR6' 6"210St. Charles, IL
35Blaise Sokach-MinnickLSSR6' 3"216West Pittston, PA
92Andrew DufaultLSSO6' 1"249Westwood, MA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →