Big Ten · 2019 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2019

11-27-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#7
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+15.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.7
15th in FBS
Defense
+9.8
8th in FBS
Schedule
+3.1
17th toughest
Preseason
+5.9
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+15.5 now, +5.9 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#7

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31vsIdaho FCSW 79–7+18.4—BTN
2Sep 7vs45BuffaloW 45–13+26.8—FOX
3Sep 14vs66PittsburghW 17–10+3.6—ABC
4—Bye
5Sep 27@92MarylandCONFW 59–0+35.0—FS1
6Oct 5vs74PurdueCONFW 35–7+21.2—ESPN
7Oct 12@16IowaCONFW 17–12+19.1—ABC
8Oct 19vs11MichiganCONFW 28–21+17.7—ABC
9Oct 26@42Michigan StateCONFW 28–7+27.2—ABC
10—Bye
11Nov 9@22MinnesotaCONFL 26–31+6.3—ABC
12Nov 16vs38IndianaCONFW 34–27+8.5—ABC
13Nov 23@1Ohio StateCONFL 17–28+17.7—FOX
14Nov 30vs121RutgersCONFW 27–6+4.6—BTN
BowlsDec 28vs18MemphisNEUTRALW 53–39+24.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.1%61st36.7%9th
Rushing success rate44.3%64th35.4%5th
Passing success rate41.7%68th37.9%33rd
Explosive run rate14.5%75th11.1%12th
Explosive pass rate12.0%41st11.3%69th
Line yards / carry3.0459th2.547th
Opportunity rate37.0%91st30.7%6th
Stuff rate14.2%9th24.3%10th
Sack rate7.4%95th8.1%22nd
3rd-down conversion44.2%32nd39.9%60th
Red-zone TD rate70.0%34th46.9%11th
Havoc rate10.2%20th12.0%87th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.816th17.37th
Yards / game411.956th——
Yards / play5.8452nd——
Pass yards / game221.376th——
Yards / pass att.7.8051st——
Completion %58.8%81st——
Rush yards / game190.636th——
Yards / carry4.8038th——
3rd-down conv. %42.2%42nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0819th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.4698th——
Penalty yards / game45.327th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →