The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 87Miami (OH) | W 38–14 | +17.9 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 121RutgersCONF | W 30–0 | +9.7 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 30Iowa State | W 18–17 | +9.8 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 94Middle Tennessee | W 48–3 | +24.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 11MichiganCONF | L 3–10 | +9.0 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 7Penn StateCONF | L 12–17 | +7.9 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 74PurdueCONF | W 26–20 | +1.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 86NorthwesternCONF | W 20–0 | +19.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 6WisconsinCONF | L 22–24 | +16.2 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 22MinnesotaCONF | W 23–19 | +10.0 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 80IllinoisCONF | W 19–10 | +4.0 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 50NebraskaCONF | W 27–24 | +7.0 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 33USCNEUTRAL | W 49–24 | +29.9 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.0% | 64th | 39.5% | 33rd |
| Rushing success rate | 44.4% | 62nd | 42.1% | 52nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 68th | 37.4% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.7% | 115th | 10.1% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 40th | 8.3% | 12th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.86 | 96th | 2.96 | 65th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 79th | 40.4% | 93rd |
| Stuff rate | 21.1% | 100th | 17.2% | 91st |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 44th | 7.2% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.8% | 55th | 38.9% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.9% | 84th | 50.0% | 17th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 30th | 12.9% | 64th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.8 | 92nd | 16.6 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 366.5 | 99th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 85th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 228.9 | 68th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.24 | 76th | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.1% | 78th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 137.6 | 97th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.95 | 90th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.7% | 56th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 10th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 32.4 | 3rd | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nate Stanley | QB | ||||
| 7 | Spencer Petras | QB | ||||
| 3 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | ||||
| 10 | Mekhi Sargent | RB | ||||
| 15 | Tyler Goodson | RB | ||||
| 21 | Ivory Kelly-Martin | RB | ||||
| 28 | Toren Young | RB | ||||
| 36 | Brady Ross | FB | ||||
| 38 | Monte Pottebaum | FB | ||||
| 40 | Turner Pallissard | FB | ||||
| 5 | Oliver Martin | WR | ||||
| 6 | Ihmir Smith-Marsette | WR | ||||
| 12 | Brandon Smith | WR | ||||
| 19 | Max Cooper | WR | ||||
| 39 | Nate Wieting | WR | ||||
| 83 | Malcolm Dotson | WR | ||||
| 89 | Nico Ragaini | WR | ||||
| 42 | Shaun Beyer | TE | ||||
| 84 | Sam LaPorta | TE | ||||
| 70 | Rashawn Slater | OT | ||||
| 57 | Chauncey Golston | DL | ||||
| 74 | Austin Schulte | DL | ||||
| 91 | Brady Reiff | DL | ||||
| 92 | John Waggoner | DL | ||||
| 95 | Cedrick Lattimore | DL | ||||
| 99 | Noah Shannon | DL | ||||
| 13 | Joe Evans | DE | ||||
| 94 | AJ Epenesa | DE | ||||
| 97 | Zach VanValkenburg | DE | ||||
| 54 | Daviyon Nixon | DT | ||||
| 5 | Dillon Doyle | LB | ||||
| 31 | Jack Campbell | LB | ||||
| 32 | Djimon Colbert | LB | ||||
| 35 | Barrington Wade | LB | ||||
| 44 | Seth Benson | LB | ||||
| 1 | Wes Dvorak | DB | ||||
| 2 | Cecil Singleton Jr. | DB | ||||
| 13 | Henry Marchese | DB | ||||
| 17 | Devonte Young | DB | ||||
| 28 | Jack Koerner | DB | ||||
| 38 | Terry Roberts | DB | ||||
| 8 | Matt Hankins | CB | ||||
| 9 | DJ Johnson | CB | ||||
| 11 | Michael Ojemudia | CB | ||||
| 27 | Jermari Harris | CB | ||||
| 33 | Riley Moss | CB | ||||
| 4 | Dane Belton | S | ||||
| 9 | Geno Stone | S | ||||
| 26 | Kaevon Merriweather | S | ||||
| 3 | Keith Duncan | PK | ||||
| 22 | Michael Sleep-Dalton | P | ||||
| 47 | Billy Taylor | LS | ||||
| 18 | John Milani | DEF | ||||
| 34 | Kristian Welch | DEF | ||||
| 49 | Nick Niemann | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →