Big Ten · 2019 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2019

3-91-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#86
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-3.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.7
120th in FBS
Defense
+5.2
26th in FBS
Schedule
+2.0
29th toughest
Preseason
+1.8
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-3.5 now, +1.8 preseason · down 40 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#87

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31@88StanfordL 7–17-10.8—FOX
2—Bye
3Sep 14vs118UNLVW 30–14+2.3—BTN
4Sep 21vs42Michigan StateCONFL 10–31-20.1—ABC
5Sep 28@6WisconsinCONFL 15–24+9.2—ABC
6Oct 5@50NebraskaCONFL 10–13+1.0—
7—Bye
8Oct 18vs1Ohio StateCONFL 3–52-9.3—BTN
9Oct 26vs16IowaCONFL 0–20-11.2—ESPN2
10Nov 2@38IndianaCONFL 3–34-19.7—FS1
11Nov 9vs74PurdueCONFL 22–24-6.2—BTN
12Nov 16vs130MassachusettsW 45–6-1.7—BTN
13Nov 23vs22MinnesotaCONFL 22–38-10.0—ABC
14Nov 30@80IllinoisCONFW 29–10+19.3—FS1

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.1%123rd39.1%28th
Rushing success rate37.4%120th36.5%9th
Passing success rate34.2%117th41.8%70th
Explosive run rate12.5%105th10.4%9th
Explosive pass rate4.8%130th8.1%10th
Line yards / carry3.0460th2.5610th
Opportunity rate36.3%98th33.5%16th
Stuff rate19.0%70th22.1%26th
Sack rate6.1%70th4.7%100th
3rd-down conversion35.3%117th41.8%77th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%112th68.6%104th
Havoc rate12.1%50th12.4%78th
Box score · season totals
Points / game17.3128th23.943rd
Yards / game297.1123rd——
Yards / play4.12128th——
Pass yards / game117.0126th——
Yards / pass att.4.50130th——
Completion %50.0%124th——
Rush yards / game180.144th——
Yards / carry4.0884th——
3rd-down conv. %35.8%101st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.00118th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.9255th——
Penalty yards / game48.539th——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →