
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 78Tulsa | W 28–7 | +16.3 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 67Western Michigan | W 51–17 | +24.0 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 48Arizona State | L 7–10 | -3.8 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 86NorthwesternCONF | W 31–10 | +20.2 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 38IndianaCONF | W 40–31 | +10.5 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 1Ohio StateCONF | L 10–34 | +4.7 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 6WisconsinCONF | L 0–38 | -10.7 | — | |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 7Penn StateCONF | L 7–28 | -8.1 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 80IllinoisCONF | L 34–37 | -8.0 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 11MichiganCONF | L 10–44 | -11.5 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 121RutgersCONF | W 27–0 | +13.9 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 92MarylandCONF | W 19–16 | -3.5 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 52Wake ForestNEUTRAL | W 27–21 | +7.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.0% | 96th | 36.1% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.2% | 113th | 34.1% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 72nd | 37.8% | 32nd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.0% | 127th | 11.8% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.5% | 97th | 7.9% | 7th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.52 | 124th | 2.49 | 5th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.9% | 125th | 32.9% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 22.8% | 115th | 24.4% | 9th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 13th | 8.0% | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.6% | 90th | 36.2% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.9% | 123rd | 60.0% | 54th |
| Havoc rate | 12.0% | 47th | 14.6% | 19th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.3 | 97th | 23.2 | 38th |
| Yards / game | 371.9 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.09 | 100th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 244.8 | 55th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.86 | 96th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.2% | 85th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 127.2 | 112th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.53 | 115th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.5% | 99th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.85 | 112th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.38 | 18th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.9 | 69th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Theo Day | QB | ||||
| 12 | Rocky Lombardi | QB | ||||
| 14 | Brian Lewerke | QB | ||||
| 15 | La'Darius Jefferson | RB | ||||
| 23 | Andre Welch | RB | ||||
| 24 | Elijah Collins | RB | ||||
| 39 | Alante Thomas | RB | ||||
| 11 | Connor Heyward | FB | ||||
| 4 | CJ Hayes | WR | ||||
| 7 | Cody White | WR | ||||
| 8 | Jalen Nailor | WR | ||||
| 13 | Laress Nelson | WR | ||||
| 16 | Brandon Sowards | WR | ||||
| 17 | Tre Mosley | WR | ||||
| 25 | Darrell Stewart Jr. | WR | ||||
| 34 | Anthony Williams | WR | ||||
| 49 | Max Rosenthal | TE | ||||
| 80 | Matt Seybert | TE | ||||
| 81 | Parks Gissinger | TE | ||||
| 88 | Trenton Gillison | TE | ||||
| 89 | Matt Dotson | TE | ||||
| 97 | Tyler Hunt | TE | ||||
| 64 | Matt Allen | OL | ||||
| 26 | Brandon Wright | DL | ||||
| 86 | Drew Beesley | DE | ||||
| 96 | Jacub Panasiuk | DE | ||||
| 64 | Jacob Slade | DT | ||||
| 93 | Naquan Jones | DT | ||||
| 99 | Raequan Williams | DT | ||||
| 3 | Jeslord Boateng | LB | ||||
| 6 | Chase Kline | LB | ||||
| 17 | Tyriq Thompson | LB | ||||
| 34 | Antjuan Simmons | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Bachie | LB | ||||
| 37 | Edward Warinner | LB | ||||
| 45 | Noah Harvey | LB | ||||
| 2 | Julian Barnett | DB | ||||
| 2 | Chris Jackson | DB | ||||
| 10 | Michael Dowell | DB | ||||
| 14 | Davion Williams | DB | ||||
| 9 | Dominique Long | CB | ||||
| 18 | Kalon Gervin | CB | ||||
| 19 | Josh Butler | CB | ||||
| 22 | Josiah Scott | CB | ||||
| 29 | Shakur Brown | CB | ||||
| 3 | Xavier Henderson | S | ||||
| 3 | Tate Hallock | S | ||||
| 6 | David Dowell | S | ||||
| 24 | Tre Person | S | ||||
| 43 | Jack Mandryk | S | ||||
| 4 | Matt Coghlin | PK | ||||
| 98 | Cole Hahn | PK | ||||
| 5 | Jake Hartbarger | P | ||||
| 19 | Jack Bouwmeester | P | ||||
| 48 | Kenny Willekes | DEF | ||||
| 72 | Mike Panasiuk | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →