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Big Ten · 2026

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Head coach P.J. Fleck · Huntington Bank Stadium
5-33-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#52
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.4
73rd in FBS
Defense
+5.2
36th in FBS
Schedule so far
+1.5
40th toughest
Projected
6.2-5.8
bowl-eligible 75%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.8 now, +6.8 preseason · down 14 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#52

Final record odds

6.2-5.8 expected · most likely 6-6 (41%)
25%5-741%6-626%7-57%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Drake Lindsey
QB · JR · 68th in FBS
1592yds
10 TD · 6 INT
Rushing
TJ Thomas
RB · JR · 149th in FBS
381yds
64 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Javon Tracy
WR · SR · 91st in FBS
460yds
46 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Maverick Baranowski
LB · SR · 69th in FBS
62tkl
3.5 TFL
Sacks
TJ Bush Jr.
DL · SR · 36th in FBS
5sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Jaxon Howard
DL · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsEastern Illinois FCSW 59–7 ›-0.2—Peacock
2Sep 12vs45Mississippi StateL 13–38 ›-21.3—CBS
3Sep 19vs132AkronW 41–7 ›+3.2—BTN
4Sep 26@43WashingtonCONFW 27–24 ›+14.0—FOX
5Oct 3vs37MichiganCONFW 20–14 ›+10.6—Fox
6Oct 10@71PurdueCONFL 13–41 ›-21.3—BTN
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs16IowaCONFW 13–10 ›+15.3—FS1
9Oct 31@6IndianaCONFL 16–23 ›+20.4—CBS
10Nov 7vs17UCLACONFUCLA −7.0 · o/u 44.8—32%Fox
11Nov 14@26Penn StateCONFPenn State −11.2 · o/u 43.9—23%
12Nov 21vs24NorthwesternCONFNorthwestern −4.3 · o/u 48.7—39%
13Nov 27@33WisconsinCONFWisconsin −10.4 · o/u 40.0—24%NBC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.001124th+0.01232nd
Success rate36.7%128th39.4%44th
Explosiveness1.182105th1.21656th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.0%125th39.5%43rd
Rushing success rate35.7%132nd43.1%80th
Passing success rate37.8%110th36.1%23rd
Explosive run rate6.6%138th14.7%98th
Explosive pass rate7.8%116th10.3%79th
Line yards / carry2.29138th3.1999th
Opportunity rate27.5%138th42.6%127th
Stuff rate24.7%135th18.1%66th
Sack rate3.2%21st6.8%38th
3rd-down conversion33.3%124th30.1%6th
Red-zone TD rate43.5%124th66.7%101st
Havoc rate13.9%80th16.1%27th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.389th20.535th
Yards / game309.0130th305.022nd
Yards / play4.85125th4.8939th
Pass yards / game209.590th178.923rd
Yards / pass att.6.20127th6.4533rd
Completion %62.5%76th56.3%18th
Rush yards / game99.5132nd126.144th
Yards / carry3.50121st3.8859th
3rd-down conv. %31.9%126th27.8%6th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.7514th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3831st2.1263rd
Penalty yards / game54.059th45.4117th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.5
138th of 138
YAC per catch
5.5
66th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
9%
136th of 138
Shotgun
71%
132nd of 138
No-huddle
13%
124th of 138
QB pressured
10%
107th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
17%
31st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.3
64th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws260 throws charted

62% comp6.5 avg. depth5.5 YAC/catch9% 20+ air yds10–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 25 throws (10%), 21 caught (84%), 92 yds, 3.7 per throw2584% · 92yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 12 caught (71%), 63 yds, 3.7 per throw1771% · 63yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 12 caught (57%), 132 yds, 6.3 per throw2157% · 132yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 46 yds, 5.1 per throw933% · 46yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 39 yds, 5.6 per throw729% · 39yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 28 yds, 14.0 per throw250% · 28yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 34 yds, 17.0 per throw250% · 34yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 7 yds, 1.2 per throw650% · 7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 7 caught (50%), 72 yds, 5.1 per throw1450% · 72yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 10 caught (71%), 93 yds, 6.6 per throw1471% · 93yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 50 yds, 6.3 per throw838% · 50yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 100 yds, 14.3 per throw757% · 100yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 83 yds, 27.7 per throw3100% · 83yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 36 throws (14%), 31 caught (86%), 159 yds, 4.4 per throw3686% · 159yRight, 0–4 air yards: 32 throws (12%), 20 caught (63%), 81 yds, 2.5 per throw3263% · 81yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 17 caught (81%), 181 yds, 8.6 per throw2181% · 181yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 29 yds, 3.6 per throw825% · 29yRight, 15–19 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 8 caught (57%), 183 yds, 13.1 per throw1457% · 183yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 180 yds, 20.0 per throw956% · 180yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on210 throws charted

56% comp8.7 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds10–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 14 caught (88%), 65 yds, 4.1 per throw1688% · 65yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 13 caught (72%), 75 yds, 4.2 per throw1872% · 75yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 40 yds, 4.4 per throw944% · 40yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 76 yds, 12.7 per throw683% · 76yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 21 yds, 10.5 per throw250% · 21yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 73 yds, 8.1 per throw933% · 73yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 18 yds, 4.5 per throw475% · 18yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 20 yds, 2.2 per throw978% · 20yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 37 yds, 5.3 per throw757% · 37yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 255 yds, 15.0 per throw1771% · 255yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 73 yds, 9.1 per throw850% · 73yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 88 yds, 22.0 per throw475% · 88yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 86 yds, 14.3 per throw633% · 86yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 33 yds, 1.9 per throw1771% · 33yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (12%), 15 caught (60%), 127 yds, 5.1 per throw2560% · 127yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 7 caught (37%), 68 yds, 3.6 per throw1937% · 68yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 82 yds, 7.5 per throw1145% · 82yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 4 caught (36%), 86 yds, 7.8 per throw1136% · 86yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 57 yds, 14.3 per throw450% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 33 yds, 8.3 per throw425% · 33y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction216 carries

Left
22%
6.0 YPC · 40% succ.
Middle
58%
3.4 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
20%
3.5 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced234 carries

Left
18%
7.1 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
62%
4.0 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
20%
4.7 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach P.J. Fleck

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Drake LindseyQBJR6' 5"230Fayetteville, AR
6Max ShikenjanskiQBSR6' 2"185Stillwater, MN
12Michael MerdingerQBJR6' 1"205Fort Lauderdale, FL
15Owen LansuQBFR6' 1"195Downers Grove, IL
16Brady PalmerQBFR6' 2"210San Diego, CA
1Darius TaylorRBSR6' 0"215Detroit, MI
9Xavier FordRBSO5' 10"210Leesville, LA
20Ryan EstradaRBFR5' 10"190El Paso, TX
22Jaron ThomasRBSO6' 0"225Elkhart, IN
23TJ ThomasRBJR5' 8"190Thomasville, GA
26Zeke BatesRBFR6' 0"220Haverford, PA
28Niko CastilloRBFR6' 1"235Schuylkill Haven, PA
3Perry ThompsonWRJR6' 3"220Foley, AL
7Bradley MartinoWRSO6' 3"190Naples, FL
8Jalen SmithWRJR6' 1"210Mankato, MN
11Javon TracyWRSR6' 0"205Indianapolis, IN
13Noah JenningsWRSR6' 0"190Columbia, SC
18Donielle HayesWRSR6' 0"190Pensacola, FL
24Braiden StevensWRFR5' 8"170Platte City, MO
25Zion SteptoeWRSR5' 11"190Little Elm, TX
81Josiah DozierWRFR6' 1"190Moody, AL
84Hayden MooreWRFR6' 1"205Gainesville, FL
85Rico BlassingameWRFR6' 1"185Auburn, WA
89Quayd HendryxWRFR5' 11"180Burlington Township, NJ
44George RohlTEFR6' 6"245Ellsworth, WI
82Julian JohnsonTEJR6' 6"260Aurora, IL
83Sam PetersTESR6' 4"250Maple Grove, MN
87Kaden HelmsTESR6' 4"240Bellevue, NE
88Jacob SimpsonTEJR6' 4"245Johnston, IA
50Nathan RoyOLJR6' 5"305Mukwonago, WI
51Daniel ShippOLSO6' 5"295Eastvale, CA
56Brett CarrollOLJR6' 5"320Olathe, KS
57Aaron ThomasOLFR6' 6"300Phoenix, AZ
58Jaden BallOLJR6' 5"310Carroll, OH
59Tony NelsonOLSR6' 6"325Tracy, MN
60Kaveon LeeOLSO6' 5"320Chicago, IL
65Greg JohnsonOLSR6' 6"325Prior Lake, MN
66Beckett SchreiberOLFR6' 5"295Madison, WI
69Gavin MeierOLFR6' 5"305Janesville, WI
71Lucas TielschOLFR6' 7"320Copley, OH
75Mark HandyOLSO6' 7"320Albuquerque, NM
77Nick SpenceOLSO6' 6"300Phoenix, AZ
78Ashton BeersOLSR6' 6"320Slinger, WI
0Anthony SmithDLSR6' 6"280Shippensburg, PA
1Jaxon HowardDLSR6' 4"260Crystal, MN
3TJ Bush Jr.DLSR6' 3"265Woodbridge, VA
11Karter MenzDLSR6' 5"240Horace, ND
33Rhett HlavackaDLSO6' 5"260Fond Du Lac, WI
41Anthony CharlesDLFR6' 5"210Pittsburgh, PA
45Sam MacyDLJR6' 5"250Chanhassen, MN
47Enoch AtewogbolaDLSO6' 4"255Avon, IN
48Aaden AytchDLFR6' 3"240Lafayette, IN
55Jaylin HicksDLJR6' 3"270Harlem, NY
56Jay'Quan StubbsDLSO6' 4"285Cleveland, OH
70Naquan CrowderDLSR6' 2"330Aliquippa, PA
88Josiah AnyansiDLFR6' 3"260Atlanta, GA
90Xion ChapmanDLSR6' 3"305Allentown, PA
91Howie JohnsonDLFR6' 3"300Forest Lake, MN
92Sid KabaDLSR6' 2"305Columbus, OH
93Riley SunramDLJR6' 5"305Kindred, ND
94Mo SaineDLJR6' 4"275Eden Prairie, MN
95Colin HansenDLSO6' 7"265Byron, MN
96Abu TarawallieDLSO6' 3"290New Hope, MN
97Jeremiah BensonDLFR6' 3"280Detroit, MI
98Adam KissayiDLJR6' 8"255Palm Bay, FL
99Theorin RandleDLSR6' 2"300Houston, TX
2Emmanuel KarmoLBSO6' 2"235Minneapolis, MN
6Maverick BaranowskiLBSR6' 2"230Ponce Inlet, FL
16Hudson DunnLBFR6' 0"220Peoria, AZ
19Joey GerlachLBSR6' 3"225Woodbury, MN
29Andrew MarshallLBSR6' 2"235Carroll, OH
32Angel LucianoLBFR6' 1"210Steelton, PA
35Nate ClevelandLBSO6' 2"225Hoffman Estates, IL
44Ethan StendelLBSO6' 3"240Caledonia, MN
46Mason CarrierLBJR6' 3"235Detroit Lakes, MN
49Matt KingsburyLBSR6' 3"235Chicago, IL
4Zack HardenDBSO6' 1"210Covington, GA
7Aidan GousbyDBSR6' 0"190Lehigh Acres, FL
8Mike GeraldDBJR6' 0"190Houston, TX
9Garrison MonroeDBSR6' 0"205Shakopee, MN
13Zahir RainerDBJR5' 9"190Richmond, VA
14Kerry BrownDBSR5' 10"190Naples, FL
15Samuel MaduDBJR6' 1"180Bronx, NY
17John NestorDBSR6' 1"210Chicago, IL
18Rhyland KellyDBSR6' 1"200Winnipeg, Canada
20Parker KnutsonDBSR6' 0"190Sartell, MN
21Naiim ParrishDBSO5' 11"180Freehold, NJ
22Mekhai SmithDBJR6' 2"215Lower Merion, PA
23Lamont HamiltonDBFR5' 10"170Racine, WI
24Chance PayneDBFR5' 10"185Jefferson, GA
25Justin HopkinsDBFR5' 11"190Nashville, TN
27Simon SeidlDBJR5' 10"190Hugo, MN
28Trason RichardsonDBFR6' 0"190Houston, TX
31Jordan LampkinsDBFR6' 0"190Germantown, MD
36Daniel JacksonPKSO5' 10"175Alexandria, MN
92Beckham SunderlandPKSR6' 2"215Newport, KY
Luke DrzewieckiPKSR6' 0"186Shelby Township, MI
37Zachary RobbinsPSO6' 3"220Santaquin, UT
52Alan SoukupLSJR6' 1"210Phoenix, AZ
53Jakob LutzLSSO6' 0"205Peachtree City, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+8.6, #22) · worst: 2023 (-1.6, #74)
0+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#63
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-2#52+4.8-0.4+5.2
20258-55-4#63+0.9-2.6+3.5
20248-55-4#26+7.30.0+7.4
20236-73-6#74-1.6-2.2+0.6
20229-45-4#21+7.7-0.4+8.1
20219-46-3#29+6.5+0.4+6.1
20203-43-4#60+0.7+1.6-0.9
201911-27-2#22+8.6+6.2+2.4
20187-63-6#48+3.2+0.2+3.0
20175-72-7#58+1.0-3.3+4.3
20169-45-4#40+4.7+1.1+3.6
20156-72-6#68+0.2-1.4+1.5
20148-55-3#44+4.1+0.9+3.2

Minnesota's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →