SEC · 2026
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Head coach Jeff Lebby · Davis Wade Stadium
3-01-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#12
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+9.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.8
3rd in FBS
Defense
+0.8
58th in FBS
Schedule so far
-3.2
32nd toughest
Projected
8.3-3.7
bowl-eligible 97%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
+9.5 now, -0.2 preseason · up 57 spots since preseason
Final record odds
8.3-3.7 expected · most likely 8-4 (24%)
Team Leaders
Passing
Kamario Taylor
QB · SO · 25th in FBS
832yds
11 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Fluff Bothwell
RB · JR · 30th in FBS
280yds
48 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Anthony Evans III
WR · SR · 19th in FBS
294yds
20 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Jalen Smith
LB · JR · 145th in FBS
20tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Amaree Williams
EDGE · 116th in FBS
1.5sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Jalen Smith
LB · JR · 35th in FBS
1INT
0 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 136UL Monroe | W 62–13 | +15.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 65Minnesota | W 38–13 | +27.9 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 42South CarolinaCONF | W 41–34 | +13.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 31MissouriCONF | Mississippi State −6.8 · o/u 59.3 | — | SEC Network | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 5AlabamaCONF | Alabama −1.7 · o/u 64.2 | — | ||
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 10LSUCONF | LSU −3.4 · o/u 56.8 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 19OklahomaCONF | Mississippi State −4.6 · o/u 44.7 | — | ||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 6TexasCONF | Texas −6.5 · o/u 53.5 | — | ||
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 46VanderbiltCONF | Mississippi State −9.5 · o/u 63.0 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 38AuburnCONF | Mississippi State −8.1 · o/u 57.5 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs Tennessee Tech FCS | Mississippi State −36.7 · o/u 55.2 | — | SECN+ | |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 13Ole MissCONF | Ole Miss −2.9 · o/u 63.0 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.467 | 6th | -0.034 | 35th |
| Success rate | 54.5% | 6th | 36.0% | 37th |
| Explosiveness | 1.311 | 48th | 1.138 | 37th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 55.6% | 6th | 36.9% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 58.0% | 5th | 34.9% | 34th |
| Passing success rate | 53.1% | 21st | 38.1% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.0% | 50th | 7.9% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 17.9% | 14th | 7.1% | 35th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.62 | 22nd | 2.80 | 58th |
| Opportunity rate | 51.9% | 4th | 31.7% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 41st | 19.0% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 3.7% | 54th | 5.7% | 58th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 56.0% | 15th | 31.6% | 38th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 59th | 33.3% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 47th | 14.3% | 67th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 47.0 | 10th | 20.0 | 57th |
| Yards / game | 544.7 | 2nd | 333.7 | 69th |
| Yards / play | 7.71 | 9th | 4.61 | 43rd |
| Pass yards / game | 300.7 | 23rd | 233.7 | 100th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.90 | 16th | 6.04 | 40th |
| Completion % | 68.1% | 39th | 62.1% | 84th |
| Rush yards / game | 244.0 | 18th | 100.0 | 35th |
| Yards / carry | 6.30 | 15th | 3.19 | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 54.8% | 14th | 27.7% | 23rd |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.67 | 26th | 0.67 | 107th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.33 | 54th | 2.33 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 78.7 | 126th | 89.3 | 3rd |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Jeff Lebby
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamario Taylor | QB | SO | 6' 4" | 230 | Macon, MS |
| 8 | Jaden Rashada | QB | JR | 6' 4" | 195 | Pittsburg, CA |
| 14 | Brodie McWhorter | QB | FR | 6' 2" | 220 | Kingston, GA |
| 15 | Parker Puckett | QB | FR | 6' 0" | 180 | Madison, MS |
| 17 | AJ Swann | QB | SR | 6' 2" | 220 | Canton, GA |
| 5 | Xavier Gayten | RB | JR | 6' 0" | 205 | Brookhaven, MS |
| 21 | J.J. Hill | RB | FR | 6' 0" | 220 | Tupelo, MS |
| 24 | Fluff Bothwell | RB | JR | 5' 10" | 230 | Oneonta, AL |
| 25 | Cooper Crosby | RB | FR | 6' 0" | 205 | Gulfport, MS |
| 0 | Gracen Harris | WR | FR | 5' 11" | 175 | Ennis, TX |
| 2 | Marquis Johnson | WR | SR | 5' 11" | 190 | Dickinson, TX |
| 3 | Anthony Evans III | WR | SR | 5' 11" | 190 | Converse, TX |
| 7 | Zion Ragins | WR | SO | 5' 8" | 170 | Macon, GA |
| 9 | Camden Capehart | WR | FR | 5' 8" | 180 | Winnsboro, TX |
| 10 | Bull Mitchell | WR | FR | 5' 11" | 210 | Fort Valley, GA |
| 12 | Matt Mayfield | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 200 | Sunset, LA |
| 13 | Sanfrisco Magee | WR | SO | 6' 2" | 200 | Mccomb, MS |
| 16 | Jayden Cration | WR | FR | 6' 3" | 200 | Canton, MS |
| 19 | Junior Henderson | WR | FR | 6' 4" | 205 | Carthage, TX |
| 22 | Jayytee Taylor | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 195 | Macon, MS |
| 80 | Fisher Southall | WR | FR | 6' 2" | 185 | Fairhope, AL |
| 81 | Zion Crumpton | WR | FR | 6' 1" | 165 | Montgomery, AL |
| 89 | Jessie Primer IV | WR | SO | 6' 0" | 175 | Canton, MS |
| 4 | Zayion Cotton | TE | FR | 6' 5" | 230 | Grenada, MS |
| 84 | Adam Land | TE | FR | 6' 3" | 230 | Panama City, FL |
| 85 | Luke Hutchinson | TE | FR | 6' 3" | 235 | Nashville, TN |
| 88 | Joeseph Skipworth | TE | FR | 6' 5" | 225 | Pace, FL |
| 50 | LJ Prudhomme | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 330 | Shreveport, LA |
| 53 | Dylan Steen | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 315 | Doral, FL |
| 54 | Blake Steen | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 340 | Miami, FL |
| 55 | Jakheem Shumpert-Perkins | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 340 | Plantersville, MS |
| 56 | Wesley Davis | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 300 | Collierville, TN |
| 58 | Miles McVay | OL | JR | 6' 6" | 335 | East St. Louis, IL |
| 59 | Tyler Miller | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 335 | Laurel, MS |
| 60 | Matthew Lefeau | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 350 | Tacoma, WA |
| 62 | Jamari Freeman | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 310 | Fairburn, GA |
| 63 | Mario Nash | OL | FR | 6' 4" | 305 | De Kalb, MS |
| 65 | Spencer Dowland | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 300 | Athens, AL |
| 66 | Ja'Elyne Matthews | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 325 | Toms River, NJ |
| 71 | Saquon Miles | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 320 | Greenville, AL |
| 72 | Canon Boone | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 325 | Kemah, TX |
| 73 | Leon Noil Jr. | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 290 | New Orleans, LA |
| 74 | Kison Shepard | OL | JR | 6' 7" | 350 | Memphis, TN |
| 75 | Isaiah Dent | OL | SO | 6' 6" | 330 | Fulton, MS |
| 76 | Jayden Ross | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 320 | Ocean Springs, MS |
| 77 | TJ Lockhart | OL | SO | 6' 5" | 350 | Kilmichael, MS |
| 78 | DJ Chester | OL | JR | 6' 6" | 315 | Conyers, GA |
| 79 | Dalton Toothman | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 320 | Vancleave, MS |
| 9 | Jaray Bledsoe | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 315 | Marlin, TX |
| 14 | Dealyn Evans | DL | SO | 6' 5" | 310 | Longview, TX |
| 19 | Micah Nickerson | DL | FR | 6' 5" | 260 | Magnolia, MS |
| 33 | Douglas Adams III | DL | JR | 6' 3" | 240 | San Francisco, CA |
| 35 | Kalvin Dinkins | DL | SR | 6' 2" | 320 | Lake, MS |
| 40 | Gus Cordova | DL | SO | 6' 4" | 270 | Austin, TX |
| 42 | DJ Reed | DL | JR | 6' 4" | 295 | Columbus, GA |
| 55 | Colin Coates | DL | JR | 6' 2" | 320 | Baltimore, MD |
| 88 | Tico Crittendon | DL | FR | 6' 4" | 310 | Lithonia, GA |
| 91 | Lorenz Cammon | DL | JR | 6' 4" | 260 | Upland, CA |
| 92 | Kaleb Morris | DL | FR | 6' 4" | 285 | Mobile, AL |
| 97 | Jayson Jenkins | DL | SR | 6' 6" | 280 | Bordentown, NJ |
| 99 | Jamarcus Moye | DL | SR | 6' 5" | 330 | Phenix City, AL |
| 49 | Shawn Gee | DE | SO | 6' 4" | 280 | Birmingham, AL |
| 0 | Fatt Forrest | LB | JR | 6' 2" | 235 | Kilmichael, MS |
| 7 | Zakari Tillman | LB | SR | 6' 2" | 235 | Florence, MS |
| 10 | Jalen Smith | LB | JR | 6' 2" | 230 | Grayson, GA |
| 11 | Tyler Lockhart | LB | SO | 6' 2" | 225 | Kilmichael, MS |
| 12 | Ja'Bryis Stewart | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 215 | Crystal Springs, MS |
| 13 | LaKendrick James | LB | JR | 6' 2" | 250 | Shelby, MS |
| 16 | Derion Gullette | LB | JR | 6' 3" | 240 | Marlin, TX |
| 32 | AJ Rice | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 240 | Crawford, MS |
| 44 | Gav Holman | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 245 | Uniondale, NY |
| 45 | James Heard Jr. | LB | JR | 6' 2" | 230 | Camden, NJ |
| 48 | Chris Addison | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 250 | Winnsboro, LA |
| 47 | Sean Pleasant | DB | FR | 6' 2" | 170 | Austin, TX |
| 1 | Kelley Jones | CB | SR | 6' 4" | 205 | Clarksdale, MS |
| 8 | Kaylib Singleton | CB | SO | 6' 1" | 190 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 17 | Kyle Johnson | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 185 | Cottonport, LA |
| 20 | Jett Jefferson | CB | JR | 6' 1" | 200 | Tylertown, MS |
| 24 | Quentin Taylor | CB | SO | 6' 0" | 205 | Apopka, FL |
| 26 | Jamroc Grimsley | CB | SO | 6' 2" | 200 | Tampa, FL |
| 30 | Camron Brown | CB | FR | 6' 1" | 180 | Valdosta, GA |
| 36 | Terrell Johnson Jr. | CB | FR | 6' 2" | 195 | Lexington, MS |
| 37 | Dre Otey | CB | FR | 6' 2" | 185 | Murfreesboro, TN |
| 38 | Jaylen Antoine | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 180 | Bay St. Louis, MS |
| 2 | Isaac Smith | S | SR | 6' 0" | 220 | Fulton, MS |
| 3 | Kendel Dolby | S | SR | 5' 11" | 195 | Springfield, OH |
| 5 | Jardin Gilbert | S | SR | 6' 1" | 195 | White Castle, LA |
| 18 | Sekou Smith Jr. | S | FR | 6' 0" | 180 | Miami, FL |
| 21 | Dre Riley | S | JR | 6' 1" | 185 | Charleston, MS |
| 25 | Kolby Barrett | S | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Chattanooga, TN |
| 28 | Tanner Johnson | S | SR | 6' 0" | 195 | Kyle, TX |
| 29 | Boogie Johnson | S | SO | 6' 2" | 200 | Hooks, TX |
| 31 | Terrance Love | S | JR | 6' 2" | 210 | Atlanta, GA |
| 34 | Vic Sutton | S | JR | 6' 3" | 215 | Madison, MS |
| 48 | Hayden Chambers | PK | FR | 6' 1" | 205 | Fort Payne, AL |
| 80 | Kyle Ferrie | PK | SR | 6' 1" | 205 | Searcy, AR |
| 83 | Oisin Flynn | PK | FR | 6' 3" | 200 | Dublin, Ireland |
| 8 | Ethan Pulliam | P | JR | 6' 1" | 190 | Starkville, MS |
| 39 | Kallen Cosper | LS | FR | 6' 4" | 215 | Kingwood, TX |
| 46 | Kyle Rushing | LS | FR | 6' 1" | 200 | Mccomb, MS |
Updated Sep 24, 5:53 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →