SEC · 2016 · Final

Mississippi State Bulldogs 2016

6-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#56
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+1.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.7
34th in FBS
Defense
-2.2
81st in FBS
Schedule
+1.2
37th toughest
Preseason
+5.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.4 now, +5.8 preseason · down 42 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#56

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs100South AlabamaL 20–21-11.0—SEC Network
2Sep 10vs84South CarolinaCONFW 27–14+6.7—ESPN2
3Sep 17@7LSUCONFL 20–23+12.6—ESPN2
4Sep 24@116MassachusettsW 47–35+2.5—ESPN3
5—Bye
6Oct 8vs16AuburnCONFL 14–38-16.1—ESPN
7Oct 14@35BYUL 21–28+1.4—ESPN
8Oct 22@67KentuckyCONFL 38–40-0.2—SEC Network
9Oct 29vsSamford FCSW 56–41-8.0—SEC Network
10Nov 5vs24Texas A&MCONFW 35–28+12.2—SEC Network
11Nov 12@1AlabamaCONFL 3–51-6.4—ESPN
12Nov 19vs53ArkansasCONFL 42–58-16.2—ESPNU
13Nov 26@50Ole MissCONFW 55–20+33.8—SEC Network
BowlsDec 26vs93Miami (OH)NEUTRALW 17–16-5.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.6%50th42.5%51st
Rushing success rate47.5%36th41.8%42nd
Passing success rate41.0%67th43.2%80th
Explosive run rate17.4%33rd13.6%39th
Explosive pass rate8.1%108th12.8%109th
Line yards / carry3.437th3.0158th
Opportunity rate44.1%12th39.3%61st
Stuff rate15.5%19th20.6%42nd
Sack rate3.9%22nd4.6%98th
3rd-down conversion41.5%67th42.4%75th
Red-zone TD rate63.6%63rd59.3%40th
Havoc rate11.1%38th11.7%84th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.463rd31.875th
Yards / game440.244th——
Yards / play5.9640th——
Pass yards / game209.789th——
Yards / pass att.6.6397th——
Completion %56.0%92nd——
Rush yards / game230.523rd——
Yards / carry5.6311th——
3rd-down conv. %40.6%62nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3825th——
Penalty yards / game47.541st——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →