
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 100South Alabama | L 20–21 | -11.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 84South CarolinaCONF | W 27–14 | +6.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 7LSUCONF | L 20–23 | +12.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 116Massachusetts | W 47–35 | +2.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 16AuburnCONF | L 14–38 | -16.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 35BYU | L 21–28 | +1.4 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 67KentuckyCONF | L 38–40 | -0.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs Samford FCS | W 56–41 | -8.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 24Texas A&MCONF | W 35–28 | +12.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 1AlabamaCONF | L 3–51 | -6.4 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 53ArkansasCONF | L 42–58 | -16.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 50Ole MissCONF | W 55–20 | +33.8 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 93Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | W 17–16 | -5.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.6% | 50th | 42.5% | 51st |
| Rushing success rate | 47.5% | 36th | 41.8% | 42nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 67th | 43.2% | 80th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.4% | 33rd | 13.6% | 39th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.1% | 108th | 12.8% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 7th | 3.01 | 58th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.1% | 12th | 39.3% | 61st |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 19th | 20.6% | 42nd |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 22nd | 4.6% | 98th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.5% | 67th | 42.4% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 63rd | 59.3% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 38th | 11.7% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.4 | 63rd | 31.8 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 440.2 | 44th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.96 | 40th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 209.7 | 89th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.63 | 97th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.0% | 92nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 230.5 | 23rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.63 | 11th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 62nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.38 | 25th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.5 | 41st | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nick Fitzgerald | QB | ||||
| 11 | Damian Williams | QB | ||||
| 14 | Nick Tiano | QB | ||||
| 10 | Brandon Holloway | RB | ||||
| 21 | Nick Gibson | RB | ||||
| 26 | Alec Murphy | RB | ||||
| 27 | Aeris Williams | RB | ||||
| 32 | Ashton Shumpert | RB | ||||
| 33 | Dontavian Lee | RB | ||||
| 5 | Gabe Myles | WR | ||||
| 6 | Donald Gray | WR | ||||
| 8 | Fred Ross | WR | ||||
| 17 | Jamal Couch | WR | ||||
| 18 | Deddrick Thomas | WR | ||||
| 22 | Malik Dear | WR | ||||
| 23 | Keith Mixon Jr. | WR | ||||
| 86 | Jesse Jackson | WR | ||||
| 81 | Justin Johnson | TE | ||||
| 82 | Farrod Green | TE | ||||
| 83 | Jordan Thomas | TE | ||||
| 16 | Johnathan Calvin | DL | ||||
| 49 | Torrey Dale | DL | ||||
| 57 | Will Coleman | DL | ||||
| 88 | Nick James | DL | ||||
| 94 | Nelson Adams | DL | ||||
| 42 | Marquiss Spencer | DE | ||||
| 43 | Fletcher Adams | DE | ||||
| 47 | A.J. Jefferson | DE | ||||
| 34 | Cory Thomas | DT | ||||
| 90 | Grant Harris | DT | ||||
| 94 | Jeffery Simmons | DT | ||||
| 95 | Braxton Hoyett | DT | ||||
| 3 | Traver Jung | LB | ||||
| 4 | Gerri Green | LB | ||||
| 28 | DeAndre Ward | LB | ||||
| 39 | Richie Brown | LB | ||||
| 44 | Leo Lewis | LB | ||||
| 45 | Josiah Phillips | LB | ||||
| 46 | Dezmond Harris | LB | ||||
| 49 | Kelan Chairs | LB | ||||
| 1 | Brandon Bryant | DB | ||||
| 2 | Chris Stamps | DB | ||||
| 5 | Cedric Jiles | DB | ||||
| 9 | Jamoral Graham | DB | ||||
| 11 | Kivon Coman | DB | ||||
| 2 | Jamal Peters | CB | ||||
| 24 | Chris Rayford | CB | ||||
| 31 | Maurice Smitherman | CB | ||||
| 12 | J.T. Gray | S | ||||
| 41 | Mark McLaurin | S | ||||
| 25 | Westin Graves | PK | ||||
| 27 | Kody Schexnayder | P | ||||
| 43 | Logan Cooke | P | ||||
| 25 | Lashard Durr | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →