The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 8USCNEUTRAL | W 52–6 | +44.6 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 15Western Kentucky | W 38–10 | +33.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 50Ole MissCONF | W 48–43 | +10.9 | — | CBS |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 106Kent State | W 48–0 | +21.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 67KentuckyCONF | W 34–6 | +22.2 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 53ArkansasCONF | W 49–30 | +23.8 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 22TennesseeCONF | W 49–10 | +39.8 | — | CBS |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 24Texas A&MCONF | W 33–14 | +24.2 | — | CBS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 7LSUCONF | W 10–0 | +25.6 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 56Mississippi StateCONF | W 51–3 | +31.4 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs Chattanooga FCS | W 31–3 | +2.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 16AuburnCONF | W 30–12 | +25.9 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 21FloridaNEUTRAL | W 54–16 | +37.0 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 5WashingtonNEUTRAL | W 24–7 | +34.0 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 9 | vs 3ClemsonNEUTRAL | L 31–35 | +14.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 19th | 30.9% | 1st |
| Rushing success rate | 52.4% | 8th | 28.7% | 1st |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 70th | 32.5% | 5th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.8% | 9th | 11.0% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 47th | 8.5% | 14th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 35th | 2.41 | 4th |
| Opportunity rate | 45.4% | 8th | 26.1% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 79th | 23.2% | 17th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 56th | 8.6% | 13th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.0% | 44th | 31.6% | 6th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.4% | 99th | 57.9% | 36th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 27th | 13.2% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.8 | 23rd | 14.8 | 1st |
| Yards / game | 455.3 | 34th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.32 | 22nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 210.3 | 87th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.56 | 55th | — | — |
| Completion % | 63.5% | 16th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 245.0 | 12th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.75 | 8th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 35th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.60 | 35th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.0 | 26th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | QB | ||||
| 8 | Blake Barnett | QB | ||||
| 18 | Cooper Bateman | QB | ||||
| 5 | Ronnie Clark | RB | ||||
| 9 | Bo Scarbrough | RB | ||||
| 21 | BJ Emmons | RB | ||||
| 25 | Josh Jacobs | RB | ||||
| 33 | Derrick Gore | RB | ||||
| 34 | Damien Harris | RB | ||||
| 44 | Avery Reid | RB | ||||
| 1 | Robert Foster | WR | ||||
| 3 | Calvin Ridley | WR | ||||
| 7 | Trevon Diggs | WR | ||||
| 11 | Gehrig Dieter | WR | ||||
| 13 | ArDarius Stewart | WR | ||||
| 17 | Cam Sims | WR | ||||
| 19 | Xavian Marks | WR | ||||
| 30 | Mack Wilson Sr. | WR | ||||
| 81 | Derek Kief | WR | ||||
| 87 | Miller Forristall | WR | ||||
| 84 | Hale Hentges | TE | ||||
| 88 | O.J. Howard | TE | ||||
| 89 | Brandon Greene | TE | ||||
| 44 | Dakota Ball | DL | ||||
| 9 | Da'Shawn Hand | DE | ||||
| 54 | Dalvin Tomlinson | DT | ||||
| 69 | Joshua Frazier | DT | ||||
| 93 | Jonathan Allen | DT | ||||
| 94 | Daron Payne | DT | ||||
| 10 | Reuben Foster | LB | ||||
| 20 | Shaun Dion Hamilton | LB | ||||
| 22 | Ryan Anderson | LB | ||||
| 32 | Rashaan Evans | LB | ||||
| 33 | Anfernee Jennings | LB | ||||
| 42 | Keith Holcombe | LB | ||||
| 47 | Christian Miller | LB | ||||
| 56 | Tim Williams | LB | ||||
| 31 | Keaton Anderson | DB | ||||
| 2 | Tony Brown II | CB | ||||
| 26 | Marlon Humphrey | CB | ||||
| 39 | Levi Wallace | CB | ||||
| 4 | Eddie Jackson | S | ||||
| 14 | Deionte Thompson | S | ||||
| 15 | Ronnie Harrison Jr. | S | ||||
| 29 | Minkah Fitzpatrick | S | ||||
| 92 | Andy Pappanastos | PK | ||||
| 99 | Adam Griffith | PK | ||||
| 15 | JK Scott | P | ||||
| 6 | Hootie Jones | DEF | ||||
| 23 | Aaron Robinson | DEF | ||||
| 24 | Terrell Lewis | DEF | ||||
| 28 | Anthony Averett | DEF | ||||
| 99 | Raekwon Davis | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →