Sun Belt · 2016 · Final

South Alabama Jaguars 2016

6-72-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#100
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-7.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.6
103rd in FBS
Defense
-2.9
87th in FBS
Schedule
-5.9
121st toughest
Preseason
-5.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.5 now, -5.8 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#100

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@56Mississippi StateW 21–20+4.9—SEC Network
2Sep 10vs82Georgia SouthernCONFL 9–24-20.5—ESPN3
3Sep 17@96LouisianaCONFL 23–28-9.2—ESPN3
4Sep 24vsNicholls FCSW 41–40-22.0—ESPN3
5Oct 1vs31San Diego StateW 42–24+21.9—ESPNEWS
6—Bye
7Oct 15@63Arkansas StateCONFL 7–17-7.8—ESPN3
8Oct 20vs51TroyCONFL 21–28-6.3—ESPNU
9Oct 29vs105Georgia StateCONFW 13–10-8.3—ESPN3
10Nov 5@122Louisiana MonroeCONFL 35–42-17.5—ESPN3
11—Bye
12Nov 19vsPresbyterian College FCSW 31–7+1.0—ESPN3
13Nov 26@87IdahoCONFL 31–38-8.7—ESPN3
14Dec 3vs126New Mexico StateCONFW 35–28-8.8—ESPN3
BowlsDec 30vs52Air ForceNEUTRALL 21–45-21.3—ASN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.8%72nd44.3%78th
Rushing success rate45.7%55th45.8%81st
Passing success rate40.0%77th41.9%66th
Explosive run rate12.5%105th18.6%119th
Explosive pass rate15.0%11th9.7%45th
Line yards / carry3.0269th3.1690th
Opportunity rate37.5%94th41.3%92nd
Stuff rate17.8%57th18.0%66th
Sack rate6.6%82nd7.2%25th
3rd-down conversion38.8%91st38.3%37th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%40th62.8%70th
Havoc rate13.6%92nd13.5%39th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.499th26.744th
Yards / game388.383rd——
Yards / play5.5172nd——
Pass yards / game243.855th——
Yards / pass att.7.6449th——
Completion %56.1%88th——
Rush yards / game144.5103rd——
Yards / carry4.0197th——
3rd-down conv. %38.5%80th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.4692nd——
Penalty yards / game62.9105th——

Players

57 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

57 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →