10-35-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#52
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+2.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.4
35th in FBS
Defense
-0.7
68th in FBS
Schedule
-5.2
109th toughest
Preseason
+1.3
rating going in
2016 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+2.7 now, +1.3 preseason · up 4 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 37–21 | -7.0 | — | CAMP |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 105Georgia State | W 48–14 | +16.2 | — | CAMP |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 90Utah StateCONF | W 27–20 | +4.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 46Navy | W 28–14 | +15.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 68WyomingCONF | L 26–35 | -7.4 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 80New MexicoCONFNEUTRAL | L 40–45 | -7.6 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 108Hawai'iCONF | L 27–34 | -18.6 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 123Fresno StateCONF | W 31–21 | -0.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 72Army | W 31–12 | +19.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 57Colorado StateCONF | W 49–46 | +1.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 111San Jose StateCONF | W 41–38 | -4.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 29Boise StateCONF | W 27–20 | +11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 100South AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 45–21 | +16.5 | — | ASN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.5% | 13th | 37.7% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 50.5% | 12th | 35.1% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 84th | 40.3% | 52nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.4% | 92nd | 10.8% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 24.8% | 1st | 16.1% | 126th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 11th | 2.44 | 7th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.2% | 20th | 25.9% | 1st |
| Stuff rate | 11.7% | 4th | 21.3% | 33rd |
| Sack rate | 8.6% | 113th | 7.1% | 29th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.4% | 13th | 42.9% | 86th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.5% | 65th | 61.9% | 58th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 11th | 14.4% | 20th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.3 | 39th | 26.2 | 36th |
| Yards / game | 452.1 | 36th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.91 | 42nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 134.8 | 123rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 11.68 | 1st | — | — |
| Completion % | 45.3% | 126th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 317.4 | 3rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.99 | 41st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.5% | 6th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 20th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.4 | 59th | — | — |
Players
48 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
48 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arion Worthman | QB | ||||
| 6 | Nate Romine | QB | ||||
| 3 | D.J. Johnson | RB | ||||
| 22 | Bryan Driskell | RB | ||||
| 24 | Benton Washington | RB | ||||
| 28 | Jacobi Owens | RB | ||||
| 33 | Timothy McVey | RB | ||||
| 43 | Shayne Davern | RB | ||||
| 30 | Jacob Stafford | FB | ||||
| 36 | Parker Wilson | FB | ||||
| 4 | Ronald Cleveland | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jalen Rowell | WR | ||||
| 10 | Andrew Smith | WR | ||||
| 12 | Tyler Williams | WR | ||||
| 85 | Ryan Reffitt | TE | ||||
| 67 | Dylan Vail | OL | ||||
| 38 | Kellen Cleveland | DL | ||||
| 53 | David Harris | DL | ||||
| 54 | Lochlin Deeks | DL | ||||
| 93 | Samuel Byers | DL | ||||
| 97 | Santo Coppola | DL | ||||
| 99 | Jalen Lacy | DL | ||||
| 6 | Shaquille Vereen | LB | ||||
| 29 | Kyle Floyd | LB | ||||
| 34 | Haji Dunn Jr. | LB | ||||
| 40 | Ryan Watson | LB | ||||
| 41 | Patrick Healy | LB | ||||
| 42 | Blake Dailey | LB | ||||
| 44 | Grant Ross | LB | ||||
| 45 | R.J. Jackson | LB | ||||
| 47 | Claude Alexander III | LB | ||||
| 48 | Jacob Onyechi | LB | ||||
| 50 | Jack Flor | LB | ||||
| 2 | Marquis Griffin | DB | ||||
| 5 | Dailen Sutton | DB | ||||
| 14 | Hayes Linn | DB | ||||
| 18 | Brodie Hicks | DB | ||||
| 19 | Brayden Hill | DB | ||||
| 21 | Jesse Washington | DB | ||||
| 25 | Roland Ladipo | DB | ||||
| 27 | Tyler Weaver | DB | ||||
| 31 | Ross Connors | DB | ||||
| 33 | Davine Tullis | CB | ||||
| 8 | Weston Steelhammer | S | ||||
| 91 | Steve Brosy | P | ||||
| 11 | Luke Strebel | LS | ||||
| 15 | Brett Baldwin | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →