
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 36Tulsa | L 10–45 | -19.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Portland State FCS | W 66–35 | +3.5 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 37Utah | L 17–34 | -13.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 88Iowa State | L 10–44 | -29.4 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 80New MexicoCONF | L 41–48 | -7.1 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 108Hawai'iCONF | L 17–34 | -28.6 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 109NevadaCONF | W 14–10 | -7.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 31San Diego StateCONF | L 3–42 | -20.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 110UNLVCONF | W 30–24 | -6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 29Boise StateCONF | L 31–45 | -4.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 52Air ForceCONF | L 38–41 | -2.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 123Fresno StateCONF | W 16–14 | -8.6 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 91st | 47.0% | 107th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.2% | 60th | 48.9% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 37.1% | 105th | 43.8% | 87th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 34th | 16.4% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 69th | 14.2% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 84th | 3.21 | 100th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.2% | 70th | 42.1% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 90th | 15.8% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 11.5% | 126th | 7.9% | 18th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.2% | 85th | 35.9% | 19th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.8% | 93rd | 66.7% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 17.7% | 128th | 13.4% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.4 | 109th | 34.7 | 91st |
| Yards / game | 377.8 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.03 | 102nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 222.1 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 67th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.7% | 76th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 155.8 | 87th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.89 | 102nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.1% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 4.17 | 128th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.6 | 7th | — | — |
48 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kenny Potter | QB | ||||
| 12 | Josh Love | QB | ||||
| 6 | Deontae Cooper | RB | ||||
| 20 | Malike Roberson | RB | ||||
| 33 | Jamar Williams | RB | ||||
| 49 | Shane Smith | RB | ||||
| 1 | Jeremy Kelly | WR | ||||
| 2 | Tim Crawley | WR | ||||
| 8 | Rahshead Johnson | WR | ||||
| 9 | Justin Holmes | WR | ||||
| 13 | Tre Hartley | WR | ||||
| 22 | Thai Cottrell | WR | ||||
| 84 | Bailey Gaither | WR | ||||
| 18 | Billy Freeman | TE | ||||
| 85 | Brett Foley | TE | ||||
| 86 | LeVander Brown | TE | ||||
| 87 | Nico Lima | TE | ||||
| 89 | Josh Oliver | TE | ||||
| 34 | Terrell Townsend | DE | ||||
| 46 | Cameron Woodard | DE | ||||
| 53 | Isaiah Irving | DE | ||||
| 88 | Joseph Melo | DE | ||||
| 90 | Nick Oreglia | DE | ||||
| 94 | Eugene Taylor | DE | ||||
| 8 | Boogie Roberts | DT | ||||
| 59 | Bryson Bridges | DT | ||||
| 4 | Christian Tago | LB | ||||
| 5 | Frank Ginda | LB | ||||
| 11 | William Ossai | LB | ||||
| 31 | Ethan Aguayo | LB | ||||
| 42 | Alex Manigo | LB | ||||
| 44 | Mark Amann | LB | ||||
| 45 | Noah Failauga | LB | ||||
| 54 | Epie Sona | LB | ||||
| 35 | Casey Hughes | DB | ||||
| 3 | Jermaine Kelly Jr. | CB | ||||
| 19 | Dakari Monroe | CB | ||||
| 21 | Andre Chachere | CB | ||||
| 24 | Dominic Barnes | CB | ||||
| 34 | Zamore Zigler | CB | ||||
| 7 | David Williams | S | ||||
| 10 | Maurice McKnight | S | ||||
| 15 | Chad Miller | S | ||||
| 23 | Trevon Bierria | S | ||||
| 25 | Chandler Hawkins | S | ||||
| 38 | Bryce Crawford | PK | ||||
| 17 | Michael Carrizosa | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →