The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 111San Jose State | W 45–10 | +15.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 2Ohio State | L 3–48 | -10.5 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs North Carolina A&T FCS | W 58–21 | +5.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 123Fresno State | W 48–41 | -3.6 | — | CAMP |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 94SMUCONF | W 43–40 | -6.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 27HoustonCONF | L 31–38 | +2.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 97TulaneCONF | W 50–27 | +13.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 44MemphisCONF | W 59–30 | +32.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 104East CarolinaCONF | W 45–24 | +9.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 46NavyCONF | L 40–42 | +4.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 70UCFCONF | W 35–20 | +16.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 101CincinnatiCONF | W 40–37 | -7.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 89Central MichiganNEUTRAL | W 55–10 | +26.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.8% | 25th | 37.3% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.1% | 51st | 38.0% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 47.7% | 14th | 36.6% | 19th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 34th | 13.6% | 39th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 90th | 8.0% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.29 | 23rd | 2.94 | 52nd |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 87th | 37.8% | 44th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 16th | 18.5% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 36th | 5.1% | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 11th | 38.7% | 42nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.1% | 29th | 59.5% | 43rd |
| Havoc rate | 9.5% | 12th | 12.3% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 42.3 | 12th | 29.8 | 60th |
| Yards / game | 526.2 | 4th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.02 | 36th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 265.3 | 30th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.68 | 47th | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 52nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 260.9 | 8th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.11 | 35th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.2% | 19th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 47th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.9 | 53rd | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dane Evans | QB | ||||
| 10 | Chad President | QB | ||||
| 12 | Ryan Rubley | QB | ||||
| 4 | D'Angelo Brewer | RB | ||||
| 20 | James Flanders | RB | ||||
| 21 | Rowdy Simon | RB | ||||
| 22 | Javon Thomas | RB | ||||
| 24 | Corey Taylor | RB | ||||
| 30 | Raymond Taylor | RB | ||||
| Raymond Taylor | RB | |||||
| 2 | Keevan Lucas | WR | ||||
| 5 | Brodrick Umblance | WR | ||||
| 7 | Bishop Louie | WR | ||||
| 8 | Keenen Johnson | WR | ||||
| 11 | Nigel Carter | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jarion Anderson | WR | ||||
| 29 | Justin Hobbs | WR | ||||
| 33 | Rob Riederer | WR | ||||
| 80 | Randall Smith | WR | ||||
| 84 | Avery Gragg | WR | ||||
| 88 | Josh Atkinson | WR | ||||
| 6 | Chris Minter | TE | ||||
| 87 | Leroy Hill | TE | ||||
| 72 | Trevon Tate | OL | ||||
| 8 | Jesse Brubaker | DE | ||||
| 15 | Trevis Gipson | DE | ||||
| 85 | Kolton Shindelar | DE | ||||
| 90 | Frankie Davis | DE | ||||
| 96 | Myles Mouton | DE | ||||
| 98 | Jeremy Smith | DE | ||||
| 95 | Hayden Carman | DT | ||||
| 99 | Jerry Uwaezuoke | DT | ||||
| 6 | Diamon Cannon | LB | ||||
| 28 | Craig Suits | LB | ||||
| 38 | Matt Linscott | LB | ||||
| 40 | Trent Martin | LB | ||||
| 43 | Conner Sherwood | LB | ||||
| 44 | Petera Wilson Jr. | LB | ||||
| 55 | Matt Hickman | LB | ||||
| 59 | C.J. Gooden | LB | ||||
| 37 | Trevian Hicks | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kerwin Thomas | CB | ||||
| 7 | Johnell Celistan | CB | ||||
| 9 | Reggie Robinson II | CB | ||||
| 23 | Will Barrow | CB | ||||
| 11 | Keidrien Wadley | S | ||||
| 13 | Jordan Mitchell | S | ||||
| 18 | Samuel Gottsch | S | ||||
| 21 | McKinley Whitfield | S | ||||
| 22 | Jeremy Brady | S | ||||
| 30 | Cristian Williams | S | ||||
| 37 | Gage Murphy | S | ||||
| 19 | Redford Jones | PK | ||||
| 98 | Steven Sawicki | PK | ||||
| 26 | Dalton Parks | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →