The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 114North Texas | W 34–21 | +4.8 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 48Baylor | L 13–40 | -19.0 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs Liberty FCS | W 29–14 | -8.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 54TCU | L 3–33 | -26.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 23TempleCONF | L 20–45 | -14.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 36TulsaCONF | L 40–43 | +5.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 27HoustonCONF | W 38–16 | +26.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 97TulaneCONF | W 35–31 | -0.5 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 44MemphisCONF | L 7–51 | -29.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 104East CarolinaCONF | W 55–31 | +17.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 28South FloridaCONF | L 27–35 | -3.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 46NavyCONF | L 31–75 | -29.5 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.9% | 108th | 43.1% | 63rd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.3% | 112th | 44.1% | 67th |
| Passing success rate | 40.5% | 72nd | 42.1% | 69th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.0% | 122nd | 14.6% | 56th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 51st | 9.2% | 28th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 83rd | 3.17 | 96th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 99th | 39.9% | 73rd |
| Stuff rate | 19.0% | 73rd | 16.6% | 91st |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 34th | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.8% | 23rd | 41.4% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.7% | 125th | 69.2% | 99th |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 73rd | 12.1% | 74th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.8 | 82nd | 36.3 | 99th |
| Yards / game | 427.3 | 55th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.34 | 82nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 264.0 | 34th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.95 | 78th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.4% | 108th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 163.3 | 81st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.10 | 91st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.1% | 40th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 73rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.0 | 54th | — | — |
48 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matt Davis | QB | ||||
| 7 | Darrel Colbert Jr. | QB | ||||
| 8 | Ben Hicks | QB | ||||
| 5 | Xavier Jones | RB | ||||
| 6 | Braeden West | RB | ||||
| 20 | Jordan Carmouche | RB | ||||
| 28 | Joseph Paden | RB | ||||
| Ke'Mon Freeman | RB | |||||
| 1 | Kevin Thomas | WR | ||||
| 2 | Xavier Castille | WR | ||||
| 3 | James Proche II | WR | ||||
| 9 | Shelby Walker | WR | ||||
| 14 | Ryan Becker | WR | ||||
| 15 | Alex Honey | WR | ||||
| 16 | Courtland Sutton | WR | ||||
| 22 | Myron Gailliard | WR | ||||
| 24 | Mitchell Kaufman | TE | ||||
| 84 | Jeremiah Gaines | TE | ||||
| 34 | Jarvis Pruitt | DL | ||||
| 36 | Michael Scott | DL | ||||
| 98 | Deon Green | DL | ||||
| 23 | Nick Horton | DE | ||||
| 35 | Delontae Scott | DE | ||||
| 92 | Zelt Minor | DE | ||||
| 93 | Mason Gentry | DE | ||||
| 99 | Justin Lawler | DE | ||||
| 68 | Chris Biggurs | DT | ||||
| 11 | Kyran Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 17 | Jordon Williams | LB | ||||
| 18 | William Jeanlys | LB | ||||
| 22 | Matt McNew | LB | ||||
| 26 | Jeremy White | LB | ||||
| 32 | RC Cox | LB | ||||
| 44 | Jackson Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 48 | Anthony Rhone | LB | ||||
| 55 | Carlos Carroll | LB | ||||
| 9 | Horace Richardson | DB | ||||
| 30 | Christian Burks | DB | ||||
| 12 | Kevin Johnson | CB | ||||
| 15 | Jordan Wyatt | CB | ||||
| 8 | Rodney Clemons | S | ||||
| 5 | Josh Williams | PK | ||||
| 38 | Michael Armstrong | PK | ||||
| 47 | Jamie Sackville | P | ||||
| 29 | Darrion Millines | DEF | ||||
| 76 | Jerry Saena | DEF | ||||
| 89 | Austin Rolfe | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →