The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 94SMU | L 21–34 | -22.0 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 41–20 | -2.0 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 21Florida | L 0–32 | -16.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 120RiceCONF | W 42–35 | -3.2 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 83Middle TennesseeCONF | L 13–30 | -22.6 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 112MarshallCONF | W 38–21 | +4.1 | — | |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 72Army | W 35–18 | +17.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 86UT San AntonioCONF | L 17–31 | -15.7 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 42Louisiana TechCONF | L 24–45 | -18.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 15Western KentuckyCONF | L 7–45 | -15.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 75Southern MississippiCONF | W 29–23 | +1.3 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 125UTEPCONF | L 24–52 | -36.1 | — | |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 72ArmyNEUTRAL | L 31–38 | -8.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 91st | 42.5% | 51st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.5% | 72nd | 46.8% | 90th |
| Passing success rate | 38.7% | 91st | 36.4% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.1% | 48th | 14.8% | 58th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.9% | 113th | 10.4% | 70th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 100th | 3.11 | 79th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 65th | 41.0% | 86th |
| Stuff rate | 23.9% | 122nd | 16.2% | 102nd |
| Sack rate | 8.6% | 113th | 6.2% | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.9% | 96th | 46.9% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.6% | 34th | 62.5% | 66th |
| Havoc rate | 16.2% | 124th | 13.3% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 89th | 32.0 | 77th |
| Yards / game | 341.9 | 117th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.84 | 115th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 208.3 | 91st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.03 | 121st | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.1% | 70th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 133.5 | 109th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.08 | 92nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.8% | 105th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.31 | 121st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 68.3 | 118th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alec Morris | QB | ||||
| 6 | Mason Fine | QB | ||||
| 4 | Anthony Wyche | RB | ||||
| 25 | Andrew Tucker | RB | ||||
| 26 | Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | ||||
| 29 | Willy Ivery | RB | ||||
| Quinn Shanbour | RB | |||||
| 36 | Cannon Maki | FB | ||||
| 1 | Turner Smiley | WR | ||||
| 2 | O'Keeron Rutherford | WR | ||||
| 3 | Terian Goree | WR | ||||
| 11 | Thaddeous Thompson | WR | ||||
| 31 | Kenny Buyers | WR | ||||
| 32 | Michael Lawrence | WR | ||||
| 34 | Elijah McIntyre | WR | ||||
| 81 | Daniel Khan | WR | ||||
| 83 | Tyler Wilson | WR | ||||
| 89 | Willie Robinson | WR | ||||
| Rico Bussey | WR | |||||
| 87 | Kelvin Smith | TE | ||||
| 64 | Sam Rice | OL | ||||
| 44 | Sid Moore | DL | ||||
| 49 | Roderick Young | DL | ||||
| 7 | Jareid Combs | DE | ||||
| 30 | Jarrian Roberts | DE | ||||
| 56 | Malik Dilonga | DE | ||||
| 90 | Tillman Johnson | DE | ||||
| 99 | Andy Flusche | DE | ||||
| 15 | Ulaiasi Tauaalo | DT | ||||
| 97 | Demonte Hood | DT | ||||
| 10 | Calvin Minor | LB | ||||
| 17 | Cortney Finney | LB | ||||
| 22 | E.J. Ejiya | LB | ||||
| 32 | Fred Scott | LB | ||||
| 37 | Brandon Garner | LB | ||||
| 53 | William LeMasters | LB | ||||
| 4 | Cody Carter | DB | ||||
| 9 | Nate Brooks | DB | ||||
| 16 | Chad Davis | DB | ||||
| 19 | John Schilleci | DB | ||||
| 21 | James Gray | DB | ||||
| 24 | Taylor Robinson | DB | ||||
| 23 | Kishawn McClain | S | ||||
| 27 | Ashton Preston | S | ||||
| 30 | Trevor Moore | PK | ||||
| 84 | Eric Keena | P | ||||
| 53 | William Eads | LS | ||||
| 2 | Eric Jenkins | DEF | ||||
| 4 | Khairi Muhammad | DEF | ||||
| 5 | Mylam Peters | DEF | ||||
| 18 | Joshua Wheeler | DEF | ||||
| 20 | Quinetin Jackson | DEF | ||||
| 36 | Dee Baulkman | DEF | ||||
| 50 | La'Darius Hamilton | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →