
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 53Arkansas | L 20–21 | +3.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs South Carolina State FCS | W 53–24 | +2.8 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 61Texas Tech | L 45–59 | -11.2 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 83Middle TennesseeCONF | L 34–38 | -4.6 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 125UTEPCONF | W 28–7 | +5.3 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 15Western KentuckyCONF | W 55–52 | +11.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 116Massachusetts | W 56–28 | +15.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 119Florida IntlCONF | W 44–24 | +10.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 120RiceCONF | W 61–16 | +16.1 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 114North TexasCONF | W 45–24 | +12.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 86UT San AntonioCONF | W 63–35 | +18.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 75Southern MississippiCONF | L 24–39 | -14.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 14 | Dec 3 | @ 15Western Kentucky | L 44–58 | -0.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 46NavyNEUTRAL | W 48–45 | +7.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.5% | 3rd | 47.7% | 115th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.6% | 11th | 49.1% | 111th |
| Passing success rate | 53.0% | 3rd | 46.5% | 115th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.1% | 17th | 15.8% | 77th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.0% | 17th | 12.8% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.32 | 16th | 3.09 | 74th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.1% | 44th | 41.8% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 15.0% | 14th | 17.8% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 4.4% | 30th | 7.2% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.7% | 9th | 47.1% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 40th | 69.0% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 11.4% | 44th | 13.1% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.3 | 3rd | 33.0 | 81st |
| Yards / game | 514.7 | 9th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 7.29 | 3rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 363.4 | 2nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.37 | 8th | — | — |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 8th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 151.4 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.08 | 37th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.3% | 7th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 57th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.2 | 44th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | J'Mar Smith | QB | ||||
| 10 | Price Wilson | QB | ||||
| 14 | Ryan Higgins | QB | ||||
| 3 | Jarred Craft | RB | ||||
| 6 | Boston Scott | RB | ||||
| 15 | Kam McKnight | RB | ||||
| 29 | Dee Fleming | RB | ||||
| 1 | Carlos Henderson | WR | ||||
| 5 | Trent Taylor | WR | ||||
| 9 | Conner Smith | WR | ||||
| 13 | Marlon Watts | WR | ||||
| 16 | Marcus Gaines | WR | ||||
| 17 | DeJuawn Oliver | WR | ||||
| 21 | Alfred Smith | WR | ||||
| 84 | Javonte Woodard | WR | ||||
| 86 | Rhashid Bonnette | WR | ||||
| 19 | Alex Woodall | TE | ||||
| 79 | Kai Absheer | OL | ||||
| 98 | Aaron Brown | DL | ||||
| 45 | Jaylon Ferguson | DE | ||||
| 50 | Deldrick Canty | DE | ||||
| 93 | Immanuel Turner | DE | ||||
| 95 | Matthew Ydarraga | DE | ||||
| 91 | Cedric Johnson | DT | ||||
| 94 | Jordan Bradford | DT | ||||
| 4 | Michael Mims | LB | ||||
| 5 | Dalton Santos | LB | ||||
| 6 | Jordan Harris | LB | ||||
| 31 | Russell Farris | LB | ||||
| 33 | Dae'Von Washington | LB | ||||
| 35 | Collin Scott | LB | ||||
| 44 | Brandon Durman | LB | ||||
| 55 | Frasier Hogan | LB | ||||
| 59 | Donald Freeman | LB | ||||
| 49 | Elliot Blankenship | DB | ||||
| 22 | Cyril Noland-Lewis | CB | ||||
| 23 | Ephraim Kitchen Jr. | CB | ||||
| 32 | Trey Spencer | CB | ||||
| 40 | Roland Dunn | CB | ||||
| 2 | Secdrick Cooper | S | ||||
| 4 | Darryl Lewis | S | ||||
| 7 | Xavier Woods | S | ||||
| 10 | James Jackson | S | ||||
| 11 | Lloyd Grogan | S | ||||
| 14 | Ronald Lewis | S | ||||
| 25 | Theron Williams | S | ||||
| 10 | Jonathan Barnes | PK | ||||
| 28 | Gerald Shouse | P | ||||
| 43 | Logan McPherson | P | ||||
| 23 | Prince Sam | DEF | ||||
| 24 | L'Jarius Sneed | DEF | ||||
| 41 | Bobby Holly | DEF | ||||
| 96 | Ka'Derrion Mason | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →