The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 126New Mexico State | W 38–22 | +0.2 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 59Texas | L 7–41 | -24.3 | — | LHN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 72Army | L 14–66 | -37.9 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 75Southern MississippiCONF | L 7–34 | -29.8 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 42Louisiana TechCONF | L 7–28 | -13.9 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 119Florida IntlCONF | L 21–35 | -28.9 | — | |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 86UT San AntonioCONF | W 52–49 | +1.3 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 64Old DominionCONF | L 21–31 | -12.9 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs Houston Baptist FCS | W 42–10 | +3.8 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 124Florida AtlanticCONF | L 31–35 | -14.8 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 120RiceCONF | L 24–44 | -30.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 114North TexasCONF | W 52–24 | +12.3 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.4% | 97th | 47.8% | 116th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.4% | 103rd | 49.6% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 84th | 45.6% | 103rd |
| Explosive run rate | 17.8% | 30th | 18.3% | 117th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 61st | 12.4% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 67th | 3.44 | 122nd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 42nd | 45.5% | 121st |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 70th | 15.2% | 114th |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 95th | 4.4% | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.7% | 80th | 46.6% | 107th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.4% | 56th | 69.4% | 101st |
| Havoc rate | 16.0% | 121st | 11.5% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.8 | 74th | 34.4 | 89th |
| Yards / game | 369.2 | 101st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.84 | 51st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 183.7 | 103rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.74 | 93rd | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.6% | 48th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 185.5 | 53rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.44 | 19th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.0% | 59th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.83 | 46th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 33rd | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zack Greenlee | QB | ||||
| 12 | Ryan Metz | QB | ||||
| 4 | Quardraiz Wadley | RB | ||||
| 22 | Tyrone Nelson | RB | ||||
| 25 | Orion Prescott | RB | ||||
| 26 | Walter Dawn Jr. | RB | ||||
| 29 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | ||||
| 30 | Kevin Dove | RB | ||||
| 15 | Darrin Laufasa | FB | ||||
| 2 | Terry Juniel | WR | ||||
| 6 | Brandon Moss | WR | ||||
| 7 | Kavika Johnson | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jaquan White | WR | ||||
| 10 | Warren Redix | WR | ||||
| 11 | Cole Freytag | WR | ||||
| 21 | Eddie Sinegal | WR | ||||
| 83 | Tyler Batson | WR | ||||
| 80 | Kent Taylor | TE | ||||
| 81 | Sterling Napier | TE | ||||
| 85 | Hayden Plinke | TE | ||||
| 13 | Gene Hopkins | DL | ||||
| 56 | Sky Logan | DL | ||||
| 63 | Gino Bresolin | DL | ||||
| 84 | Luke Elsner | DL | ||||
| 97 | Brian Madunezim | DL | ||||
| 99 | Christian Richardson | DL | ||||
| 55 | Mike Sota | DE | ||||
| 99 | Foster Dixson | DE | ||||
| 3 | Jayson VanHook | LB | ||||
| 8 | Johnny Jones | LB | ||||
| 10 | Devin Simmons | LB | ||||
| 16 | Alvin Jones | LB | ||||
| 25 | Kyle Bowling | LB | ||||
| 33 | Lawrence Montegut | LB | ||||
| 34 | Stephen Forester | LB | ||||
| 36 | Nick Usher | LB | ||||
| 44 | Cooper Foster | LB | ||||
| 54 | Silas Firstley | LB | ||||
| 1 | Kalon Beverly | DB | ||||
| 5 | Leon Hayes | DB | ||||
| 12 | Adrian Hynson | DB | ||||
| 18 | Jerrell Brown | DB | ||||
| 20 | Nik Needham | DB | ||||
| 21 | Dashone Smith | DB | ||||
| 27 | Devin Cockrell | DB | ||||
| 30 | Stanley Dye Jr. | CB | ||||
| 46 | Alan Luna | PK | ||||
| 47 | Jay Mattox | PK | ||||
| 39 | Christian Guzman | P | ||||
| 47 | Andrew Kenney | LS | ||||
| 23 | Justin Rogers | DEF | ||||
| 24 | Brendan Royal | DEF | ||||
| 39 | Kolbi McGary | DEF | ||||
| 45 | Dante Lovilotte | DEF | ||||
| 66 | Christian Harper | DEF | ||||
| 95 | Denzel Chukwukelu | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →