The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 43Notre Dame | W 50–47 | +5.0 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 125UTEP | W 41–7 | +11.8 | — | LHN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 62California | L 43–50 | -4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 18Oklahoma StateCONF | L 31–49 | -6.7 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 6OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | L 40–45 | +8.6 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 88Iowa StateCONF | W 27–6 | +14.1 | — | LHN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 32Kansas StateCONF | L 21–24 | +5.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 48BaylorCONF | W 35–34 | +2.1 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 61Texas TechCONF | W 45–37 | +10.8 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 34West VirginiaCONF | L 20–24 | -0.3 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 118KansasCONF | L 21–24 | -12.9 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 54TCUCONF | L 9–31 | -22.3 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 28th | 42.6% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.2% | 16th | 43.8% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 42.9% | 49th | 41.3% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 74th | 15.5% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 98th | 12.2% | 99th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 8th | 3.03 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 35th | 37.9% | 45th |
| Stuff rate | 11.6% | 3rd | 16.7% | 89th |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 82nd | 8.6% | 13th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.9% | 90th | 41.6% | 69th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.6% | 104th | 59.6% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 26th | 12.5% | 61st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.1 | 5th | 31.2 | 71st |
| Yards / game | 491.3 | 16th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.72 | 60th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 252.0 | 50th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.52 | 56th | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.0% | 45th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 239.3 | 17th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.81 | 48th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.9% | 100th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 101st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.1 | 108th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Josh Covey | QB | ||||
| 16 | Shane Buechele | QB | ||||
| 21 | Kyle Porter | RB | ||||
| 25 | Chris Warren | RB | ||||
| 33 | D'Onta Foreman | RB | ||||
| 41 | Tristian Houston | RB | ||||
| 1 | John Burt | WR | ||||
| 2 | Devin Duvernay | WR | ||||
| 3 | Armanti Foreman | WR | ||||
| 4 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | ||||
| 5 | Lorenzo Joe | WR | ||||
| 8 | Dorian Leonard | WR | ||||
| 9 | Collin Johnson | WR | ||||
| 11 | Jacorey Warrick | WR | ||||
| 13 | Jerrod Heard | WR | ||||
| 86 | Jake Oliver | WR | ||||
| 18 | Tyrone Swoopes | TE | ||||
| 42 | Caleb Bluiett | TE | ||||
| 47 | Andrew Beck | TE | ||||
| 97 | Chris Nelson | DL | ||||
| 40 | Naashon Hughes | DE | ||||
| 44 | Quincy Vasser | DE | ||||
| 90 | Charles Omenihu | DE | ||||
| 91 | Bryce Cottrell | DE | ||||
| 93 | Paul Boyette Jr. | DT | ||||
| 95 | Poona Ford | DT | ||||
| 30 | Timothy Cole | LB | ||||
| 31 | Jason Hall | LB | ||||
| 35 | Edwin Freeman | LB | ||||
| 43 | Cameron Townsend | LB | ||||
| 44 | Breckyn Hager | LB | ||||
| 45 | Anthony Wheeler | LB | ||||
| 46 | Malik Jefferson | LB | ||||
| 7 | Antwuan Davis | DB | ||||
| 10 | John Bonney | DB | ||||
| 11 | P.J. Locke | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kris Boyd | CB | ||||
| 5 | Holton Hill | CB | ||||
| 18 | Davante Davis | CB | ||||
| 4 | DeShon Elliott | S | ||||
| 14 | Dylan Haines | S | ||||
| 18 | Kevin Vaccaro | S | ||||
| 17 | Trent Domingue | PK | ||||
| 38 | Mitchell Becker | PK | ||||
| 13 | Michael Dickson | P | ||||
| 19 | Brandon Jones | DEF | ||||
| 23 | Jeffrey McCulloch | DEF | ||||
| 98 | D'Andre Christmas-Giles | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →