Big 12 · 2016 · Final

Baylor Bears 2016

7-63-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#48
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+3.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.3
38th in FBS
Defense
+0.2
56th in FBS
Schedule
-0.9
65th toughest
Preseason
+6.5
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+3.5 now, +6.5 preseason · down 40 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#48

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsNorthwestern State FCSW 55–7+9.4—
2Sep 10vs94SMUW 40–13+16.0—FS1
3Sep 16@120RiceW 38–10+15.2—ESPN
4Sep 24vs18Oklahoma StateCONFW 35–24+17.4—FOX
5Oct 1@88Iowa StateCONFW 45–42+1.1—FS1
6—Bye
7Oct 15vs118KansasCONFW 49–7+15.5—FS1
8—Bye
9Oct 29@59TexasCONFL 34–35+2.2—ABC
10Nov 5vs54TCUCONFL 22–62-29.9—FOX
11Nov 12@6OklahomaCONFL 24–45-4.9—ABC
12Nov 19vs32Kansas StateCONFL 21–42-17.2—ESPN2
13Nov 25vs61Texas TechCONFNEUTRALL 35–54-18.7—ESPN
14Dec 3@34West VirginiaCONFL 21–24+5.7—FS1
BowlsDec 27vs29Boise StateNEUTRALW 31–12+25.6—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.1%20th41.8%48th
Rushing success rate49.9%14th44.2%69th
Passing success rate44.0%40th38.8%40th
Explosive run rate15.9%50th12.6%29th
Explosive pass rate10.7%59th11.6%93rd
Line yards / carry3.436th3.0563rd
Opportunity rate42.1%35th40.3%78th
Stuff rate12.7%6th16.7%89th
Sack rate4.4%30th6.8%38th
3rd-down conversion47.1%20th45.5%103rd
Red-zone TD rate60.8%78th58.7%39th
Havoc rate7.9%1st12.4%63rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.642nd39.6111th
Yards / game522.76th——
Yards / play5.9938th——
Pass yards / game280.924th——
Yards / pass att.7.6153rd——
Completion %56.0%90th——
Rush yards / game241.814th——
Yards / carry5.0040th——
3rd-down conv. %42.3%48th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0057th——
Penalty yards / game82.2128th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →